7 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result

Gradski stadion, Ruse
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Dunav Ruse, 27% draw, 46% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slavia Sofia at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dunav Ruse0%Draw3%Slavia Sofia97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kyriakos Antoniou
10'
Alexander Valiño Navasal
13'
Radoslav Apostolov
22'
35'
Vladimir Nikolov
41'
David Malembana
45'
Vladimir Miletic
63'
🔁Kristiyan Stoyanovout: yoan bornosuzov
66'
⚽yoan bornosuzovassist: Ivan Minchev
🔁Stefan Gavrilovout: denislav minchev
68'
76'
Vladimir Miletic
81'
🔁Roberto Iliev Raychevout: mouhamed dosso
81'
🔁Vladimir Mileticout: umaro balde
🔁Vladan Vidakovićout: charles appiah
82'
🔁jordan louis saintout: Ibrahim Keita
82'
dimitar todorov
89'
90+1'
🔁Emil Stoevout: Boris todorov
90+1'
🔁Vladimir Nikolovout: vasil kazaldzhiev

Match stats — Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

39%Possession61%
7Shots14
1On target3
7Corners8

Line-ups

Dunav Ruse 3-5-2
  • 33G. KitanovG
  • 4J. CabarcasD
  • 5K. AntoniouD
  • 22S. PredevD
  • 88D. TodorovD
  • 44V. VidakovićM
  • 14R. ApostolovM
  • 24S. GavrilovM
  • 2M. DilchovskiD
  • 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
  • 9Álex ValiñoF
Substitutes
  • 39Andre AlvesD
  • 6S. YovkovD
  • 19S. StefanovM
  • 78E. SouM
  • 77A. SimeonovF
  • 69P. PepelyashevG
  • 11D. MinchevF
  • 18I. KeïtaF
  • 51I. BudinovD
Coach: E. Lukanov
Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 99I. AndonovG
  • 87D. FerraressoD
  • 4N. SavićD
  • 5David MalembanaD
  • 20J. Semedo VarelaD
  • 95V. MiletićM
  • 71K. StoyanovD
  • 77E. StoevF
  • 73I. MinchevM
  • 7R. RaychevF
  • 10V. NikolovM
Substitutes
  • 6B. TodorovM
  • 27Umaro BaldéF
  • 9Y. BornosuzovF
  • 11M. DossoM
  • 3M. GeorgievD
  • 19E. GogevF
  • 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
  • 16Maksimilian LazarovD
  • 24L. MarinD
Coach: Ratko Dostanic

Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

Dunav Ruse

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia31 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Cherno More Varna21 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv16 August 2026
  • L0-2Arda Kardzhali8 August 2026
  • L1-2away to CSKA Sofia2 August 2026

Slavia Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
  • D1-1Septemvri Sofia28 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Botev Vratsa10 August 2026
  • D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia31 July 2026

What these results say

  • Dunav Ruse conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dunav Ruse failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dunav Ruse scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Sofia failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Sofia conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Dunav Ruse143381623-712
8Slavia Sofia1428499014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia

  • 24 February 2020Slavia Sofia 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 15 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 3 May 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
  • 12 April 2019Slavia Sofia 3–5 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 6 December 2018Dunav Ruse 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League

Leading scorers: Dunav Ruse and Slavia Sofia

Dunav Ruse

GoalsAssists

  • I. Budinov11
  • Andre Alves10

Slavia Sofia

No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Sofia won 1–0 at Dunav Ruse. The model had made a win for Slavia Sofia its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: yoan bornosuzov 66' for Slavia Sofia. Sent off: Kyriakos Antoniou (Dunav Ruse) 10', Vladimir Miletic (Slavia Sofia) 76'.

How the call on Dunav Ruse v Slavia Sofia has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 30% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 27% / 27% / 46%: the biggest move is Slavia Sofia's chance of winning, up 11 points.

  1. Dunav Ruse win27%▼ −8
  2. Draw27%▼ −3
  3. Slavia Sofia win46%▲ +11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.