Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Dunav Ruse, 27% draw, 46% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Sofia at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
Line-ups
- 33G. KitanovG
- 4J. CabarcasD
- 5K. AntoniouD
- 22S. PredevD
- 88D. TodorovD
- 44V. VidakovićM
- 14R. ApostolovM
- 24S. GavrilovM
- 2M. DilchovskiD
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
- 9Álex ValiñoF
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 6S. YovkovD
- 19S. StefanovM
- 78E. SouM
- 77A. SimeonovF
- 69P. PepelyashevG
- 11D. MinchevF
- 18I. KeïtaF
- 51I. BudinovD
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 4N. SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 77E. StoevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 7R. RaychevF
- 10V. NikolovM
- 6B. TodorovM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 11M. DossoM
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 19E. GogevF
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 16Maksimilian LazarovD
- 24L. MarinD
Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
Dunav Ruse
- D2-2Lokomotiv Sofia31 August 2026
- L1-3away to Cherno More Varna21 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv16 August 2026
Slavia Sofia
- L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
- D1-1Septemvri Sofia28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ludogorets22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia
- 7 September 2026Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 24 February 2020Slavia Sofia 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 15 September 2019Dunav Ruse 0–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 3 May 2019Dunav Ruse 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 12 April 2019Slavia Sofia 3–5 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 6 December 2018Dunav Ruse 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League