20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

OFI vs CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Full time3 – 0

Final score: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% OFI, 30% draw, 24% CSKA Sofia — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. Second leg: CSKA Sofia v OFI, 27 Aug →

OFI went through 5–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

OFI at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OFI99%Draw1%CSKA Sofia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Fountas
19'
⚽T. Fountas (pen)
51'
53'
Stefano Sensi
54'
Teodor Ivanov
56'
🔁Pastorout: M. Brahimi
56'
🔁J. Eto'oout: C. Itu
64'
🔁L. Godoyout: J. Zwarts
🔁T. Fountasout: Z. Karachalios
66'
🔁A. Bouchalakisout: L. Dickmann
66'
75'
🔁A. Yordanovout: Leo Pereira
🔁A. Androutsosout: G. Kanellopoulos
76'
🔁T. Nussout: A. Leya Iseka
76'
80'
Cătălin Itu
81'
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
🔁K. Kostoulasout: D. Nikolaou
86'
⚽L. Dickmannassist: D. Nikolaou
90'

Match stats — OFI vs CSKA Sofia

45%Possession55%
4On target6
1Corners4

Line-ups

OFI 3-4-3
  • 31N. ChristogeorgosG
  • 5K. KostoulasD
  • 16C. SielisD
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 21I. ApostolakisM
  • 14A. AndroutsosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 3N. AthanasiouM
  • 11T. FountasF
  • 18T. NussM
  • 10A. CantalapiedraM
Substitutes
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 2K. KrizmanicD
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 8G. KanellopoulosM
  • 9A. Leya IsekaF
  • 17B. GonzalezD
  • 24L. DickmannD
  • 30T. RomanoF
Coach: Christos Kontis
CSKA Sofia 4-3-3
  • 21F. LapoukhovG
  • 2PastorD
  • 14T. IvanovD
  • 32F. RodriguezD
  • 19A. YordanovD
  • 7M. EbongM
  • 5J. GbaminD
  • 8S. SensiM
  • 99J. Eto'oM
  • 9L. GodoyF
  • 28I. PittasF
Substitutes
  • 25D. EvtimovG
  • 3T. OuorouD
  • 6B. JordaoM
  • 10J. ZwartsF
  • 11M. BrahimiM
  • 30P. PanayotovM
  • 34V. KaymakanovM
  • 38Leo PereiraM
  • 67C. ItuM
Coach: Hristo Yanev

Form going into OFI vs CSKA Sofia

OFI

No earlier matches on record this season.

CSKA Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W5-0Botev Vratsa16 August 2026
  • L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv13 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
  • W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026

What these results say

  • CSKA Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for CSKA Sofia had three goals or more.
  • CSKA Sofia won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

OFI beat CSKA Sofia 3–0. The model had made a win for OFI its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: T. Fountas 19' for OFI, T. Fountas (penalty) 51' for OFI, L. Dickmann 90' for OFI. Sent off: Mohamed Amine Brahimi (CSKA Sofia) 81'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.