27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

CSKA Sofia vs OFI UEFA Europa League prediction & result

National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Full time0 – 2

Final score: CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% CSKA Sofia, 29% draw, 34% OFI — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: OFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia (20 Aug) →

OFI went through 5–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

CSKA Sofia at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CSKA Sofia0%Draw1%OFI99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
Dimitrios Nikolaou
36'
⚽T. Nussassist: A. Poungouras
Cătălin Itu
40'
Bruno Jordão
42'
🔁Pastorout: I. Solet
46'
🔁B. Jordaoout: J. Zwarts
46'
🔁C. Ituout: P. Panayotov
56'
71'
🔁A. Cantalapiedraout: I. Apostolakis
🔁I. Pittasout: Leo Pereira
73'
77'
🔁A. Bouchalakisout: Z. Karachalios
77'
🔁T. Nussout: I. Theodosoulakis
78'
⚽I. Theodosoulakisassist: I. Apostolakis
🔁A. Martinoout: A. Yordanov
84'
84'
🔁L. Dickmannout: B. Gonzalez
84'
🔁C. Sielisout: K. Krizmanic
James Eto'o
88'

Match stats — CSKA Sofia vs OFI

56%Possession44%
6On target7
7Corners5

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia 5-3-2
  • 21F. LapoukhovG
  • 2PastorD
  • 5J. GbaminD
  • 6B. JordaoM
  • 14T. IvanovD
  • 17A. MartinoD
  • 67C. ItuM
  • 99J. Eto'oM
  • 7M. EbongM
  • 28I. PittasF
  • 9L. GodoyF
Substitutes
  • 31D. NikolovG
  • 25D. EvtimovG
  • 19A. YordanovD
  • 32F. RodriguezD
  • 91A. TunchevD
  • 3T. OuorouD
  • 94I. SoletM
  • 30P. PanayotovM
  • 80G. B. ChorbadzhiyskiM
Coach: Hristo Yanev
OFI 3-4-3
  • 31N. ChristogeorgosG
  • 16C. SielisD
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 43D. NikolaouD
  • 24L. DickmannD
  • 14A. AndroutsosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 3N. AthanasiouM
  • 11T. FountasF
  • 18T. NussM
  • 10A. CantalapiedraM
Substitutes
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 17B. GonzalezD
  • 2K. KrizmanicD
  • 90P. KenourgiakisD
  • 8G. KanellopoulosM
  • 91E. ChnarisM
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 21I. ApostolakisM
Coach: Christos Kontis

Form going into CSKA Sofia vs OFI

CSKA Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to OFI20 August 2026
  • W5-0Botev Vratsa16 August 2026
  • L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv13 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026

OFI

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
  • W3-0CSKA Sofia20 August 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for CSKA Sofia had three goals or more.
  • CSKA Sofia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs OFI

  • 20 August 2026OFI 3–0 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

The result against the call

OFI won 2–0 at CSKA Sofia. The model had leaned towards a win for CSKA Sofia at 37% and given a win for OFI 34%. The goals: T. Nuss 36' for OFI, I. Theodosoulakis 78' for OFI.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.