Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Lincoln Red Imps FC, 25% draw, 42% Larne — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Larne v Lincoln Red Imps FC, 27 Aug →
Lincoln Red Imps FC went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Larne at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne
Line-ups
- 13J. Hankins
- 6B. LopesD
- 3C. RutjensD
- 21NanoM
- 66J. EerstelingD
- 19Y. Flalhi IdrissiF
- 8MandiM
- 23JoeM
- 10A. MulaM
- 32F. AlvarezF
- 44M. ToledanoF
- 1Nauzet SantanaG
- 2E. JolleyD
- 4N. Pinto
- 5T. Cardozo
- 7L. CasciaroF
- 9K. GomezF
- 11A. Romero Morillo
- 17A. CoulibalyM
- 20E. BrittoD
- 1R. FergusonG
- 23T. CosgroveD
- 26D. BentM
- 3M. RidleyD
- 4A. DonnellyD
- 15R. DohertyM
- 6C. GallagherM
- 11S. GrahamD
- 25D. SloanM
- 45M. GibsonF
- 30M. LustyF
- 2L. WallaceD
- 7C. McKendryM
- 8M. Randall
- 9P. O'NeillF
- 14B. MageeM
- 16J. CarneyG
- 17J. UkekM
- 19K. O'Hara
- 22J. McEneffM
Form going into Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia13 August 2026
- D1-1Omonia Nicosia6 August 2026
- D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
- L0-3away to Mjallby AIF21 July 2026
Larne
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC Iberia 199911 August 2026
- D0-0FC Iberia 19994 August 2026
- L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda29 July 2026
- L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda21 July 2026
What these results say
- Lincoln Red Imps FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Larne did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Larne failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Larne conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
The result against the call
Larne won 2–0 at Lincoln Red Imps FC. The model had made a win for Larne its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. O'Neill 84' for Larne, K. O'Hara 90' for Larne. Sent off: Yussef Flalhi Idrissi (Lincoln Red Imps FC) 27'.