Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Universitatea Craiova, 24% draw, 17% Ararat-Armenia — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 August 2026
Ararat-Armenia
- L0-2away to Celje11 August 2026
- W2-1Celje4 August 2026
- L1-2away to Shamrock Rovers28 July 2026
- W2-0Shamrock Rovers21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Universitatea Craiova and Ararat-Armenia in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | Liga I | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 17 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Liga I · UEFA Europa League