20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Full time4 0

Final score: Jagiellonia 4-0 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 79% Jagiellonia, 13% draw, 8% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.27, 7.69 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Jagiellonia at 79% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999

Jagiellonia

  • D1-1away to Rangers13 August 2026
  • W2-1Rangers6 August 2026

FC Iberia 1999

  • W2-1Larne11 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Larne4 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
  • L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jagiellonia and FC Iberia 1999 in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
28JagielloniaUEFA Europa League100112-10
3FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga2513483528+743

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Erovnuli Liga

Leading scorers: Jagiellonia and FC Iberia 1999

Jagiellonia

  • K. Szmyt1 goals

FC Iberia 1999

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 35 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.