Panathinaikos vs Kifisia Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-1 Kifisia.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Panathinaikos, 26% draw, 25% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Panathinaikos at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 22E. CamaraM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 99L. GarcíaM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 7A. TettehF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 44P. BiniarisM
- 8Adriano JagušićM
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 26I. LouzaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 99M. RamírezG
- 48Tiago MansoD
- 33Hugo SousaD
- 34C. JoliboisD
- 23L. AbandaD
- 10Gerson SousaM
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 17K. RoukounakisM
- 7J. AntonisseM
- 28Á. SagalF
- 6Jorge PomboF
- 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
- 2K. ApostolakisM
- 72A. ChristópoulosF
- 4G. DoiranlisM
- 19I. JagneM
- 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
- 11Jordi MboulaF
- 20M. PatirasM
- 26K. PolykratisD
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové27 August 2026
- D2-2Hradec Králové20 August 2026
- W2-1away to CSKA 194811 August 2026
Kifisia
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026
- D1-1AEK Athens FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 27 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
- 1 February 2026Panathinaikos 3–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 3 December 2025Panathinaikos 1–0 KifisiaCup
- 14 September 2025Kifisia 3–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 25 February 2024Panathinaikos 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 12 November 2023Kifisia 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Kifisia
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- A. Tetteh51
- C. Dessers40
- V. Taborda31
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo42
- Á. Sagal41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat Kifisia 3–1. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Kings Kangwa 53' for Panathinaikos, dimitrios theodoridis 74' for Kifisia, Vicente Taborda (penalty) 81' for Panathinaikos, Elmin Rastoder 90+1' for Panathinaikos. Sent off: Clément Jolibois (Kifisia) 63'.
How the call on Panathinaikos v Kifisia has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Panathinaikos win49%▲ +9
- Draw26%▼ −3
- Kifisia win25%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.