Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Pardubice 2-1 Bohemians 1905.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Pardubice, 30% draw, 33% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pardubice at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 46Vladimir NeumanG
- 37Dávid KrčíkD
- 33Denis HalinskýD
- 21Mouhamed Tidjane TraoréD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 16Tomáš JelínekM
- 19Michal HlavatýM
- 25Ryan MahutaM
- 20Abdoull TankoF
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 99KahuanF
- 40Tobias BoledovicD
- 90Giannis-Fivos BotosM
- 8Samuel ŠimekM
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 6Marek IchaD
- 77Robi SaarmaM
- 23Tomáš FrühwaldG
- 8David HeidenreichD
- 27David LischkaD
- 24Milan HavelD
- 32Petr MirvaldM
- 47Aleš ČermákM
- 42Vojtěch SmržM
- 37Dominik JavorčekM
- 16Roman KvetF
- 99Ladislav AlmásiF
- 10Jan MatoušekF
- 9Ladislav KrobotF
- 25Peter KareemD
- 70Šimon ČernýM
- 62Samuel ObinayaM
- 11Václav PilařM
- 12Michal ReichlG
- 22Jan VondraD
- 18Denis VálaD
- 15Mathews BandaD
Form going into Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
Pardubice
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Baník Ostrava13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Slovácko5 September 2026
- L1-2Artis29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Sigma Olomouc23 August 2026
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav15 August 2026
Bohemians 1905
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Slovácko12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Sigma Olomouc5 September 2026
- D1-1FK Jablonec2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
- W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026
What these results say
- Pardubice failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pardubice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pardubice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians 1905 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
- 8 February 2026Bohemians 1905 1–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 30 August 2025Pardubice 1–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 5 April 2025Pardubice 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 3 November 2024Bohemians 1905 0–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 25 May 2024Bohemians 1905 0–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Pardubice and Bohemians 1905
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Bohemians 1905
GoalsAssists
- A. Čermák52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pardubice beat Bohemians 1905 2–1. The model had made a win for Pardubice its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Dávid Krčík 2' for Pardubice, Roman Kvet 32' for Bohemians 1905, Václav Drchal 52' for Pardubice. Sent off: Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré (Pardubice) 89'. On expected goals it finished 0.90–0.92.
How the call on Pardubice v Bohemians 1905 has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is Pardubice's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Pardubice win37%▼ −6
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Bohemians 1905 win33%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.