4 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Lyon vs Auxerre Ligue 1 prediction & result

Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Lyon 3-1 Auxerre.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Lyon, 28% draw, 24% Auxerre — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lyon at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lyon99%Draw1%Auxerre0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Loïs Openda
18'
22'
•Cameron Archer
26'
Arthur Piedfort
⚽Felix Bacherassist: Ernest Nuamah
28'
⚽Zachary Athekameassist: Loïs Openda
31'
42'
⚽Cameron Archer
⚽Ernest Nuamahassist: Pavel Šulc
53'
Felix Bacher
62'
66'
🔁Elikya Legrosout: Rayan Mandengue
66'
🔁Naouirou Ahamadaout: Pierre Ekwah
66'
🔁Remy Labeau Lascaryout: Aristide Zossou
🔁Ernest Nuamahout: Kail Boudache
67'
🔁Pavel Šulcout: Khalis Merah
67'
68'
Rayan Mandengue
🔁Mads Bidstrupout: Tanner Tessmann
76'
Tyler Morton
77'
77'
🔁Cameron Archerout: Romain Faivre
🔁Tyler Mortonout: Noah Teye Nartey
86'
🔁Felix Bacherout: Ruben Kluivert
86'
90+3'
🔁Lamine Syout: Lamfia Dioubaté

Match stats — Lyon vs Auxerre

63%Possession37%
21Shots8
7On target3
9Corners5

Line-ups

Lyon 4-3-3
  • 1D. GreifG
  • 13Z. AthekameD
  • 20F. BacherD
  • 19M. NiakhatéD
  • 16AbnerD
  • 2M. BidstrupM
  • 23T. MortonM
  • 8C. TolissoM
  • 7E. NuamahF
  • 10P. ŠulcF
  • 17L. OpendaF
Substitutes
  • 3N. TagliaficoD
  • 6T. TessmannM
  • 26K. BoudacheF
  • 40R. DescampsG
  • 45R. HimbertF
  • 21R. KluivertD
  • 22Clinton MataD
  • 18K. MerahM
  • 99N. NarteyM
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Auxerre 4-2-3-1
  • 23M. DiopG
  • 27L. SyD
  • 15C. MakossoD
  • 35E. LegrosD
  • 92C. AkpaD
  • 5K. DanoisM
  • 46A. PiedfortM
  • 10D. NamasoM
  • 8N. AhamadaM
  • 3R. Labeau LascaryM
  • 9C. ArcherF
Substitutes
  • 36T. DevernoisM
  • 20S. DiomandéD
  • 34L. DioubateM
  • 17P. EkwahM
  • 21R. FaivreM
  • 32R. MandengueD
  • 1P. NardiG
  • 77Aristide ZossouM
  • 7J. CasimirF
Coach: W. Still

Form going into Lyon vs Auxerre

Lyon

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Le Havre29 August 2026
  • L1-2Fenerbahçe26 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Toulouse22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Fenerbahçe18 August 2026
  • W3-0Sparta Praha11 August 2026

Auxerre

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Angers29 August 2026
  • L2-5away to Lens22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Lyon scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Lyon10523159+617
14Auxerre103161324-1110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lyon vs Auxerre

  • 25 April 2026Lyon 3–2 AuxerreLigue 1
  • 23 November 2025Auxerre 0–0 LyonLigue 1
  • 13 April 2025Auxerre 1–3 LyonLigue 1
  • 27 October 2024Lyon 2–2 AuxerreLigue 1
  • 17 February 2023Auxerre 2–1 LyonLigue 1

The full Lyon vs Auxerre record →

Leading scorers: Lyon and Auxerre

Lyon

GoalsAssists

  • E. Nuamah41

Auxerre

GoalsAssists

  • C. Archer60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lyon beat Auxerre 3–1. The model had made a win for Lyon its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Felix Bacher 28' for Lyon, Zachary Athekame 31' for Lyon, Cameron Archer 42' for Auxerre, Ernest Nuamah 53' for Lyon.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.