Pisa vs Padova Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 0-1 Padova.
Before kick-off the model made it 79% Pisa, 12% draw, 9% Padova — fair odds of 1.27, 8.33 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pisa at 79% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Padova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Pisa and Padova
Pisa
- M. Tramoni1 goals2 assists
Padova
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.