Hellas Verona vs Ascoli Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Hellas Verona 1-2 Ascoli.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Hellas Verona, 25% draw, 37% Ascoli — fair odds of 2.63, 4.00 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hellas Verona at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hellas Verona vs Ascoli
- 12 August 2023Hellas Verona 3–1 AscoliCoppa Italia
- 16 March 2019Hellas Verona 1–1 AscoliSerie B
- 30 October 2018Ascoli 1–0 Hellas VeronaSerie B
- 13 March 2017Hellas Verona 0–0 AscoliSerie B
- 15 October 2016Ascoli 1–4 Hellas VeronaSerie B
Leading scorers: Hellas Verona and Ascoli
Hellas Verona
- S. Mulattieri2 goals1 assists
- S. Cerbone2 goals
- A. Sarr2 goals
Ascoli
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.