24 August 2026, 23:00 UTC

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Botafogo 2-3 Atletico Paranaense.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Botafogo, 18% draw, 63% Atletico Paranaense — fair odds of 5.26, 5.56 and 1.59. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atletico Paranaense at 63% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense

Botafogo

  • L0-1away to Vitoria16 August 2026
  • D1-1Fluminense9 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Cruzeiro26 July 2026
  • D0-0Vitoria23 July 2026

Atletico Paranaense

  • D1-1RB Bragantino15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Botafogo2798104143-235
3Atletico Paranaense2713774131+1046

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense

  • 29 March 2026Atletico Paranaense 4–1 BotafogoSerie A
  • 5 October 2024Atletico Paranaense 0–1 BotafogoSerie A
  • 19 June 2024Botafogo 1–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
  • 22 October 2023Botafogo 1–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
  • 3 June 2023Atletico Paranaense 1–0 BotafogoSerie A
  • 1 June 2023Botafogo 1–0 Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil

Leading scorers: Botafogo and Atletico Paranaense

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos7 goals2 assists
  • Arthur Cabral7 goals1 assists

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros18 goals3 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.