Platense vs Boca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Platense 1-1 Boca Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Platense, 19% draw, 68% Boca Juniors — fair odds of 7.69, 5.26 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Boca Juniors at 68% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Platense vs Boca Juniors
Platense
- W1-0away to Independiente9 August 2026
- L0-4Talleres Cordoba3 August 2026
- L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba30 July 2026
- D2-2Union Santa Fe25 July 2026
Boca Juniors
- D1-1Velez Sarsfield8 August 2026
- W1-0Estudiantes La Plata5 August 2026
- D2-2away to Newell's Old Boys2 August 2026
- L0-3away to Deportivo Riestra26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Platense vs Boca Juniors
- 15 February 2026Boca Juniors 0–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 June 2024Platense 1–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 January 2024Platense 0–0 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 19 August 2023Boca Juniors 3–1 PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 19 February 2023Boca Juniors 3–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 August 2022Boca Juniors 2–1 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Platense and Boca Juniors
Platense
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.