16 August 2026, 23:15 UTC

Barracas Central vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Claudio Fabian Tapia, Barracas
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Barracas Central 0-1 Rosario Central.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Barracas Central, 24% draw, 28% Rosario Central — fair odds of 2.08, 4.17 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Barracas Central at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Barracas Central vs Rosario Central

Barracas Central

  • L0-2away to Gimnasia La Plata9 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Deportivo Riestra2 August 2026
  • W1-0Aldosivi29 July 2026
  • W1-0away to River Plate25 July 2026

Rosario Central

  • W2-1Aldosivi7 August 2026
  • W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
  • D0-0Racing Club29 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Rosario Central

  • 16 February 2026Rosario Central 2–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 November 2024Rosario Central 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 July 2024Rosario Central 0–1 Barracas CentralCopa Argentina
  • 28 March 2024Rosario Central 1–2 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 6 November 2023Barracas Central 1–1 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 9 June 2023Barracas Central 0–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Barracas Central and Rosario Central

Barracas Central

No leading scorers listed yet.

Rosario Central

  • Á. Di María8 goals4 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.