Nautico Recife vs CRB Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Nautico Recife, 26% draw, 36% CRB — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Nautico Recife at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nautico Recife vs CRB
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 55G. GuruceagaG
- 93Reginaldo LopesD
- 34WandersonD
- 3AlbertoD
- 60Luiz PauloD
- 27Luiz FelipeM
- 41SamuelM
- 72DerekM
- 16Luiz CláudioM
- 11Victor AndradeM
- 19Kaua Almeida da CostaF
- 6RyanD
- 28EversonF
- 88CaioM
- 48Guilherme Da Silva RamosD
- 37Matheus Antonio Uchôa Da SilvaM
- 13Gabriel Severino de SousaD
- 17WendellM
- 99Isaque FerreiraF
- 18HalanM
- 1Vitor CaetanoG
- 32HeredaD
- 22BressanD
- 33LynconD
- 6ReversonD
- 21Pedro CastroM
- 17ThiaguinhoM
- 8CrystopherM
- 10DanielM
- 97Dadá BelmonteM
- 28MikaelF
- 20Vinicius BarataF
- 12MatheusG
- 95Ygor CatatauF
- 2KevinD
- 44HenriD
- 18GeovaneM
- 99SaymomF
- 16MayconD
- 9João NetoF
Form going into Nautico Recife vs CRB
Nautico Recife
Serie B
- W1-0Avai31 October 2026
- L0-4away to Juventude26 October 2026
- D0-0away to Goias19 October 2026
CRB
Serie B
- L1-2away to Goias2 November 2026
- W2-1Londrina24 October 2026
- L0-1Botafogo SP18 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nautico Recife vs CRB
- 16 July 2026CRB 2–1 Nautico RecifeSerie B
- 24 March 2024Nautico Recife 1–1 CRBCopa do Nordeste
- 4 February 2023Nautico Recife 2–2 CRBCopa do Nordeste
- 10 August 2022Nautico Recife 2–1 CRBSerie B
- 27 April 2022CRB 1–2 Nautico RecifeSerie B
- 28 September 2021Nautico Recife 1–3 CRBSerie B
Leading scorers: Nautico Recife and CRB
Nautico Recife
GoalsAssists
- Vinícius93
CRB
GoalsAssists
- Mikael174
- Crystopher78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CRB won 3–0 at Nautico Recife. The model had leaned towards a win for Nautico Recife at 38% and given a win for CRB 36%. The goals: Mikael 34' for CRB, Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues 45' for CRB, Daniel Sampaio Simões 60' for CRB. On expected goals it finished 0.00–0.00.
How the call on Nautico Recife v CRB has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 40% / 25% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 38% / 26% / 36%: the biggest move is Nautico Recife's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Nautico Recife win38%▼ −2
- Draw26%▲ +1
- CRB win36%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.