QPR vs Preston Championship prediction & result
Final score: QPR 2-2 Preston.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% QPR, 28% draw, 28% Preston — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
QPR at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — QPR vs Preston
Line-ups
- 1P. CharlesG
- 27A. MbengueD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 19D. CirkinD
- 40J. VaraneM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 17K. PokuM
- 33Leon ScarlettF
- 16R. BurrellF
- 20H. ValeM
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 15A. LloydF
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 14K. SaitoF
- 11P. SmythF
- 13C. WardG
- 1D. IversenG
- 17S. MillsD
- 4H. ClarkeD
- 14J. StoreyD
- 16A. HughesD
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 15J. ThompsonM
- 7A. DevineM
- 10C. LangF
- 38J. KennyF
- 9J. ErabiF
- 20L. GibbsM
- 6L. LindsayD
- 23A. MoranM
- 21L. NichollsG
- 24O. OffiahD
- 11T. SmallD
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 37D. BurgzorgF
Form going into QPR vs Preston
QPR
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to West Brom12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Charlton9 September 2026
- L0-1Middlesbrough5 September 2026
- W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Lincoln12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Watford8 September 2026
- W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
- L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
- L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026
What these results say
- QPR conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Preston conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Preston failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: QPR vs Preston
- 6 April 2026Preston 1–1 QPRChampionship
- 9 August 2025QPR 1–1 PrestonChampionship
- 18 April 2025Preston 1–2 QPRChampionship
- 21 December 2024QPR 2–1 PrestonChampionship
- 20 April 2024QPR 1–0 PrestonChampionship
Leading scorers: QPR and Preston
QPR
GoalsAssists
- R. Kone51
Preston
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
QPR and Preston drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for QPR at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Johnny Kenny 1' for Preston, Johnny Kenny 26' for Preston, Kwame Poku 66' for QPR, Paul Smyth 90' for QPR. Sent off: Dennis Cirkin (QPR) 15'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.