Millwall vs West Ham Championship prediction & result
Final score: Millwall 2-2 West Ham.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Millwall, 28% draw, 41% West Ham — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
West Ham at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Millwall vs West Ham
Line-ups
- 34F. MarschallG
- 2J. Osei-TutuD
- 6C. TaylorD
- 5J. CooperD
- 3Zak Norton SturgeD
- 14Jenson MetcalfeM
- 49D. Mazou-SackoM
- 17M. SykesM
- 13L. DykesM
- 10C. NeghliM
- 7T. ArconteF
- 12E. BaggottD
- 23D. BatthD
- 15M. CrocombeG
- 25L. CundleM
- 45A. DoughtyM
- 35Y. IssoufouF
- 16D. KellyM
- 22K. LisbieF
- 8M. ServaisM
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 5MoratoD
- 20J. BowenM
- 14D. MukasaM
- 7A. EngelsM
- 10M. SolomonM
- 9J. PiroeF
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 19PabloF
- 61L. OrfordM
- 27S. MagassaM
- 17M. KantéM
- 49F. HerrickG
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 35E. AustböF
- 66J. AjalaF
Form going into Millwall vs West Ham
Millwall
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Middlesbrough15 September 2026
- L1-3away to Blackburn12 September 2026
- W4-0Bolton5 September 2026
- L0-3Wrexham2 September 2026
- L1-5away to Southampton29 August 2026
West Ham
All competitions we cover
- W6-0Wrexham11 September 2026
- W3-2away to Bolton8 September 2026
- W3-0Derby5 September 2026
- W4-2Wolves1 September 2026
- D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Millwall had three goals or more.
- Millwall failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Millwall scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- West Ham went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- West Ham scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- West Ham won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Millwall vs West Ham
- 4 February 2012West Ham 2–1 MillwallChampionship
- 17 September 2011Millwall 0–0 West HamChampionship
Leading scorers: Millwall and West Ham
Millwall
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
West Ham
GoalsAssists
- J. Bowen77
- K. Mavropanos50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Millwall and West Ham drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for West Ham at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Caleb Taylor 16' for Millwall, Camiel Neghli 45+3' for Millwall, Mohamadou Kante 74' for West Ham, Konstantinos Mavropanos 80' for West Ham. Sent off: Mohamadou Kante (West Ham) 89'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.