Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Fredrikstad, 25% draw, 26% Sandefjord — fair odds of 2.04, 4.00 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Fredrikstad at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 77Martin BorsheimG
- 28Solomon OwusuD
- 4Fredrik HolméD
- 12Ulrik FredriksenD
- 19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemD
- 16Daniel EidM
- 14Max NilssonM
- 20Oskar ØhlenschlaegerM
- 7Benjamin FaraasF
- 23Henrik Langaas SkogvoldF
- 9Salim LaghzaouiF
- 38Isak Helstad AmundsenD
- 5Simen RafnD
- 29Gabriel WessehM
- 24Leonard OwusuM
- 21Jakub JezierskiM
- 1Oystein OvretveitG
- 3Aleksander AndresenD
- 6Samuel Leach HolmM
- 10Johannes NúñezF
- 30Elias HadayaG
- 4Fredrik Carson PedersenD
- 13Rasmus HoltenD
- 44Xander LambrixD
- 3Vetle Walle EgeliD
- 6Sander Risan MörkM
- 7Evangelos PatoulidisM
- 14Edvard PettersenM
- 20Marcus MelchiorM
- 19Bendik BerntsenM
- 24Sebastian Holm MathisenF
- 37Jakob VesterM
- 27Jakob Maslo DunsbyF
- 32Daniel SkaarudF
- 17Foster ApetorgborF
- 16Hakon KrogelienD
- 1Alf GrønnebergG
- 2Martin HellanD
- 31Henrik SkrettebergD
- 21Jakob SwiftM
Form going into Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Rosenborg27 July 2026
- L0-1away to Bodo/Glimt17 July 2026
Sandefjord
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
- 25 May 2026Sandefjord 1–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 26 October 2025Sandefjord 0–0 FredrikstadEliteserien
- 21 April 2025Fredrikstad 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 15 February 2025Sandefjord 2–2 FredrikstadFriendlies Clubs
- 1 December 2024Sandefjord 0–1 FredrikstadEliteserien
Leading scorers: Fredrikstad and Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Sandefjord
GoalsAssists
- E. Patoulidis83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fredrikstad beat Sandefjord 1–0. The model had made a win for Fredrikstad its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: F. Holme 39' for Fredrikstad. On expected goals it finished 1.45–0.95.