Randers FC vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Randers FC 2-0 Lyngby.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Randers FC, 20% draw, 61% Lyngby — fair odds of 5.26, 5.00 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lyngby at 61% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Randers FC vs Lyngby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Jannich StorchG
- 24Sabil HansenD
- 3Daniel HøeghD
- 4Wessel DammersD
- 15Martin SjølstadD
- 8Laurits PedersenM
- 6John BjörkengrenM
- 11Elies MahmoudM
- 17Mathias GreveM
- 7Mike ThemsenM
- 30Mohamed SankohF
- 77Kasper JunkerF
- 14Frederik LauenborgM
- 31Felix SommerD
- 44Nikolas DyhrD
- 33Cyril EdudziF
- 22Mert DemirciG
- 5Oliver JonesD
- 26Hector HøyrupM
- 9Amin Al-HamawiF
- 31Diego KochenG
- 2Oskar BuurD
- 30Mikkel FischerD
- 12David Helgi AronssonD
- 25Renzo TytensD
- 19Gustav FrauloM
- 13Casper WintherM
- 14Lauge SandgravM
- 7Simon ColynM
- 10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonF
- 16Asbjorn BøndergaardF
- 6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonD
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 26Frederik GytkjærF
- 18Jens Jakob ThomasenM
- 4Cornelius AllenD
- 1Jonathan ÆgidiusG
- 17William SteindorssonM
- 8Mathias HeboM
- 9Malik AbubakariF
Form going into Randers FC vs Lyngby
Randers FC
- L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland2 August 2026
- D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026
Lyngby
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Randers FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Lyngby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Lyngby
- 9 August 2026Randers FC 2–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 21 February 2025Lyngby 0–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 6 October 2024Randers FC 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 May 2024Lyngby 2–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 31 March 2024Randers FC 6–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 23 February 2024Randers FC 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Randers FC and Lyngby
Randers FC
- M. Themsen3 goals1 assists
- E. Mahmoud2 goals1 assists
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
- S. Colyn3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.