4 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Richards Bay vs Amazulu Premier Soccer League prediction & result

King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Richards Bay 1-2 Amazulu.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Richards Bay, 27% draw, 40% Amazulu — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Amazulu at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Richards Bay0%Draw4%Amazulu96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nqaba Xulu
22'
Lindokuhle Zikhali
45+2'
52'
⚽T. Ngwenya
🔁S. Barnsout: L. Mahala
61'
70'
🔁L. Mhlongoout: G. Moralo
73'
🔁M. Mbanjwaout: H. Ekstein
Mehluleli Ndelu
74'
⚽M. Mthembu (pen)
80'
82'
⚽N. Radebeassist: A. Maqokola
🔁S. Mntungwaout: S. Zulu
86'
🔁L. Khumaloout: P. Sithebe
86'
86'
🔁A. Maqokolaout: K. Phillips
86'
🔁T. Ngwenyaout: M. Shumah

Match stats — Richards Bay vs Amazulu

57%Possession43%
15Shots16
3On target2
7Corners7
1.73xG1.68

Goals against chances

Richards Bay1 from 1.73 xGless than the chances were worth
Amazulu2 from 1.68 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Richards Bay
  • 1I. OtienoG
  • 22L. MabuyaD
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 15MthamosiD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 3S. Mntungwa
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 8L. ZikhaliM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 27N. XuluF
  • 30S. BarnsF
Substitutes
  • 32S. MtshaliG
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 53S. Zulu
  • 31O. Mbambo
  • 21P. Sithebe
  • 33W. NgemaM
  • 14L. Mahala
  • 26W. NgidiF
Amazulu 3-4-3
  • 1O. MzimelaG
  • 12T. FieliesD
  • 42S. MthethwaD
  • 4R. HanamubD
  • 14N. RadebeM
  • 6S. HlangabezaM
  • 50L. MhlongoM
  • 17L. BernM
  • 23T. NgwenyaF
  • 2A. MaqokolaF
  • 15M. MbanjwaF
Substitutes
  • 24W. KouassiG
  • 3O. MdakaD
  • 33K. PhillipsD
  • 5K. AllanD
  • 27H. EksteinM
  • 38G. MoraloM
  • 19S. ZikhaliM
  • 45M. ShumahF
  • 11A. SitholeM
Coach: Arthur Zwane

Form going into Richards Bay vs Amazulu

Richards Bay

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Kaizer Chiefs26 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Durban City15 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Chippa United11 August 2026

Amazulu

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5away to Mamelodi Sundowns26 August 2026
  • W2-0Siwelele15 August 2026
  • D1-1Orlando Pirates12 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Richards Bay90361123-123
3Amazulu9711138+522

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Richards Bay and Amazulu

Richards Bay

GoalsAssists

  • N. Xulu50

Amazulu

GoalsAssists

  • T. Ngwenya81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Amazulu won 2–1 at Richards Bay. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Amazulu at 40%. The goals: T. Ngwenya 52' for Amazulu, M. Mthembu (penalty) 80' for Richards Bay, N. Radebe 82' for Amazulu. On expected goals it finished 1.73–1.68.

How the call on Richards Bay v Amazulu has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 31% / 27% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 33% / 27% / 40%: the biggest move is Richards Bay's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Richards Bay win33%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Amazulu win40%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.