Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Kruger United 0-4 Orlando Pirates.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Kruger United, 27% draw, 44% Orlando Pirates — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Orlando Pirates at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1F. NtwariG
- 18T. MukumelaD
- 4S. SibiyaD
- 26K. MohammeD
- 13E. SeedatD
- 12B. MalatjieM
- 8M. NelM
- 44T. TavengwaM
- 10N. MakhubelaM
- 7M. ZwaneF
- 50A. MphotheF
- 16M. DandjinouG
- 45K. MngonyamaD
- 35M. MatimaM
- 5T. Ndlela
- 28OzilM
- 38S. MahlanguM
- 9W. MakhubuF
- 22K. NdlovuM
- 25T. Sibanyoni
- 24S. ChaineG
- 36K. SebelebeleD
- 6L. SeemaD
- 37S. ZuluD
- 3N. NdabaD
- 29M. MthiyaneM
- 46C. DansinM
- 23G. LunguM
- 33T. MokobodiM
- 11T. MoremiM
- 25B. RadiopaneF
- 32S. DladlaG
- 7D. HottoM
- 19N. RapooD
- 27T. XokiD
- 20S. SelepeM
- 48S. MasilelaM
- 12O. AppollisF
- 9Y. MbuthumaF
- 38M. PadimeF
Form going into Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates
Kruger United
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Durban City25 August 2026
- L1-2away to Milford FC15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Marumo Gallants11 August 2026
Orlando Pirates
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Sekhukhune United25 August 2026
- W3-0away to Chippa United16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Amazulu12 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kruger United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 10 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Kruger United and Orlando Pirates
Kruger United
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Orlando Pirates
GoalsAssists
- T. Moremi50
- B. Radiopane31
- Y. Mbuthuma30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando Pirates won 4–0 at Kruger United. The model had made a win for Orlando Pirates its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Lungu (penalty) 4' for Orlando Pirates, B. Radiopane 54' for Orlando Pirates, Y. Mbuthuma 79' for Orlando Pirates, Y. Mbuthuma 90' for Orlando Pirates. On expected goals it finished 0.77–2.32.