Durban City vs Stellenbosch Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Durban City 0-0 Stellenbosch.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Durban City, 29% draw, 27% Stellenbosch — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Durban City at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Durban City vs Stellenbosch
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33F. AsareG
- 2B. ShanduD
- 27S. MsomiD
- 5S. NcananaD
- 24J. MokoneD
- 18B. PoggenpoelM
- 23T. SangerM
- 10S. MasekoM
- 8G. SirinoM
- 7H. DomingoM
- 20J. LwambaF
- 34A. Dreyer
- 4F. GcabaD
- 28E. BrooksM
- 35L. SifumbaM
- 29A. DoumbiaM
- 26T. NodadaM
- 17K. Jurgens
- 40J. PapierF
- 9T. MorrisF
- 17S. StephensG
- 26S. NkwaliD
- 30S. MsimangoD
- 4L. VenaD
- 27T. MashegoD
- 28L. MatlouM
- 32DanielsM
- 19G. PalaceM
- 2K. RamushuM
- 67B. GroblerM
- 14S. KwayibaF
- 1N. GarrowG
- 37T. LebitsoF
- 22Q. SibandeD
- 21G. TaunyanaD
- 33C. ButsakaM
- 20K. JohannesenM
- 8V. AndrieasM
- 11Q. PlaatjiesF
- 24O. MbembeM
Form going into Durban City vs Stellenbosch
Durban City
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Kruger United25 August 2026
- D1-1Richards Bay15 August 2026
- D0-0Golden Arrows12 August 2026
Stellenbosch
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Golden Arrows26 August 2026
- W3-1Marumo Gallants14 August 2026
- D3-3away to Polokwane City11 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Stellenbosch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Durban City and Stellenbosch
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Stellenbosch
GoalsAssists
- Q. Plaatjies30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Durban City and Stellenbosch drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Durban City at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.58–0.50.