4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Sandefjord vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result

Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Sandefjord 1-1 Viking.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Sandefjord, 30% draw, 35% Viking — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sandefjord at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sandefjord97%Draw3%Viking0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
•Peter Christiansen
Elias Hadaya
34'
🔁H. Krogelienout: R. Holten
46'
🔁E. Patoulidisout: F. Apetorgbor
46'
46'
🔁S. Kvia-Egeskogout: H. Bjordal
48'
Jesper Daland
Edvard Pettersen
51'
Foster Apetorgbor
54'
🔁E. Pettersenout: J. Vester
57'
⚽T. Borkeeietassist: F. Apetorgbor
60'
65'
⚽Zlatko Tripić (pen)
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
75'
75'
🔁P. Christiansenout: E. Botheim
75'
🔁J. Bellout: N. Fuglestad
76'
🔁T. Moiout: H. J. Haugen
🔁V. Egeliout: G. Hojbjerg
80'
🔁out: B. Berntsen
80'
84'
🔁V. Auklendout: V. Vevatne
85'
Zlatko Tripić
Xander Lambrix
90+4'
90'
⚽H. Bjordalassist: Z. Tripic

Match stats — Sandefjord vs Viking

54%Possession46%
12Shots18
1On target4
7Corners5
0.62xG2.16

Goals against chances

Sandefjord1 from 0.62 xGabout what the chances were worth
Viking1 from 2.16 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sandefjord 4-3-3
  • 30E. HadayaG
  • 4F. PedersenD
  • 16H. KrogelienD
  • 44X. LambrixD
  • 3V. EgeliD
  • 14E. PettersenM
  • 8T. BorkeeietM
  • 6S. MorkM
  • 7E. PatoulidisF
  • 9O. KapskarmoF
  • 27J. DunsbyF
Substitutes
  • 1A. GronnebergG
  • 2M. HellanD
  • 13R. HoltenD
  • 5G. HojbjergD
  • 10E. GigovicM
  • 37J. VesterM
  • 24S. MathisenF
  • 17F. ApetorgborF
  • 19B. BerntsenF
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
Viking 4-4-2
  • 1A. OstboG
  • 5H. HeggheimD
  • 6G. StensnessD
  • 27J. DalandD
  • 24V. AuklendD
  • 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
  • 29T. MoiM
  • 8J. BellM
  • 10Z. TripicM
  • 20P. ChristiansenF
  • 7K. AskildsenF
Substitutes
  • 30L. BelkoG
  • 3V. VevatneD
  • 2H. J. HaugenD
  • 17E. BasseyD
  • 16H. BjordalM
  • 15O. VistedM
  • 22E. BotheimF
  • 23N. FuglestadF
  • 11R. PostemaF
Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim

Form going into Sandefjord vs Viking

Sandefjord

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Brann30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
  • L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026
  • L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026

Viking

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
  • W3-1Dinamo Zagreb26 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Dinamo Zagreb18 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Rosenborg14 August 2026
  • W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Sandefjord failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sandefjord failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sandefjord conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Viking conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Viking had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Sandefjord2677123139-828
1Viking2620246927+4262

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs Viking

  • 18 July 2026Viking 2–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 10 August 2025Sandefjord 1–2 VikingEliteserien
  • 16 May 2025Viking 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 2 November 2024Viking 3–2 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 20 May 2024Sandefjord 0–3 VikingEliteserien

Leading scorers: Sandefjord and Viking

Sandefjord

GoalsAssists

  • E. Patoulidis83

Viking

GoalsAssists

  • P. Christiansen187
  • S. Kvia-Egeskog93
  • H. Heggheim73

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sandefjord and Viking drew 1–1. The goals: T. Borkeeiet 60' for Sandefjord, H. Bjordal 90' for Viking. Sent off: Jesper Daland (Viking) 48'. On expected goals it finished 0.62–2.16.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.