5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result

Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Rosenborg 4-0 Ham-Kam.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Rosenborg, 29% draw, 26% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosenborg at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rosenborg99%Draw1%Ham-Kam0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. K. Ceide
1'
22'
Markus Johnsgard
45+1'
Blerton Isufi
46'
🔁B. Isufiout: F. Sjolstad
⚽N. Sahsahassist: A. Chiakha
52'
⚽A. Chiakhaassist: E. K. Ceide
60'
🔁A. Pereiraout: T. Dahl
65'
🔁S. Nordliout: M. Kjolo
65'
65'
🔁A. Trondsenout: A. Andresen
65'
🔁D. Moreiraout: D. Al Saed
🔁N. Sahsahout: D. Duris
73'
⚽A. Chiakhaassist: T. Dahl
76'
77'
🔁M. Johnsgardout: W. Osnes-Ringen
🔁T. Nemcikout: M. Mampassi
81'
🔁A. Chiakhaout: M. Soboczynski
81'
81'
🔁M. Ofkirout: D. Benjamin

Match stats — Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

65%Possession35%
16Shots5
8On target2
6Corners3
2.25xG0.48

Goals against chances

Rosenborg4 from 2.25 xGmore than the chances were worth
Ham-Kam0 from 0.48 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. F. WitryD
  • 4M. K. CeideD
  • 21T. NemcikD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 11N. SahsahM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnaesM
  • 7S. NordliM
  • 18A. ChiakhaF
  • 35E. K. CeideF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 3T. DahlD
  • 5H. VoldenD
  • 6M. KjoloM
  • 20A. BorgersenM
  • 29D. DurisF
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 26P. MetcalfeD
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 14L. MaresD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 7V. JonssonD
  • 29B. IsufiM
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 8M. JohnsgardM
  • 18D. MoreiraF
  • 11M. OfkirF
Substitutes
  • 13S. OstraatG
  • 27J. BarrosD
  • 23F. SjolstadD
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 28D. BenjaminF
  • 19H. UdahlF
  • 24D. Al SaedF
Coach: Thomas Myhre

Form going into Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

Rosenborg

All competitions we cover

  • L2-4away to Bodo/Glimt30 August 2026
  • W2-1Viking14 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Brann2 August 2026
  • W4-0Fredrikstad27 July 2026

Ham-Kam

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Kristiansund BK30 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Brann16 August 2026
  • D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Valerenga31 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Rosenborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Rosenborg had three goals or more.
  • Ham-Kam failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ham-Kam conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146
11Ham-Kam2686123853-1530

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

  • 28 September 2025Ham-Kam 4–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 13 July 2025Rosenborg 2–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 10 November 2024Ham-Kam 0–2 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 14 April 2024Rosenborg 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 20 August 2023Ham-Kam 3–0 RosenborgEliteserien

Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Ham-Kam

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rosenborg beat Ham-Kam 4–0. The model had made a win for Rosenborg its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. K. Ceide 1' for Rosenborg, N. Sahsah 52' for Rosenborg, A. Chiakha 60' for Rosenborg, A. Chiakha 76' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 2.25–0.48.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.