6 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Braga
Full time1 – 0

Final score: SC Braga 1-0 Dinamo Minsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% SC Braga, 15% draw, 8% Dinamo Minsk — fair odds of 1.30, 6.67 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SC Braga at 77% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Braga98%Draw2%Dinamo Minsk0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
F. Abdullahi
⚽R. Horta (pen)
45'
🔁Gabriel Silvaout: Travassos
46'
46'
🔁L. Gwethout: K. Vardanyan
62'
🔁A. Zhechkoout: A. Sokolovskiy
70'
E. Malashevich
🔁J. Moutinhoout: D. E. Tiknaz
70'
🔁D. Huseinbasicout: D. Rodrigues
70'
🔁P. Victorout: F. Navarro
76'
78'
🔁E. Malashevichout: G. Alykulov
86'
K. Vardanyan

Match stats — SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk

73%Possession27%
3On target1
9Corners1

Line-ups

SC Braga 4-3-3
  • 31BernardoG
  • 2V. GomezM
  • 22Sergio BarciaD
  • 6Vitor CarvalhoD
  • 44A. BajramiD
  • 8J. MoutinhoM
  • 29GorbyM
  • 23D. HuseinbasicM
  • 11Gabriel SilvaF
  • 21R. HortaF
  • 10P. VictorF
Substitutes
  • 5L. LeloM
  • 7TravassosD
  • 9F. NavarroF
  • 12T. SaG
  • 14G. LagerbielkeD
  • 20M. DorgelesM
  • 26B. Arrey-MbiD
  • 34D. E. TiknazM
  • 37A. BarisicD
Coach: Carlos Vicens
Dinamo Minsk 4-3-3
  • 1I. ShimakovichG
  • 44G. GurbanD
  • 12A. IvanovD
  • 26V. KalininD
  • 24A. VakulichD
  • 8A. SelyavaM
  • 23A. ZhechkoM
  • 42F. AbdullahiM
  • 30M. DjimetF
  • 80L. GwethF
  • 7E. MalashevichM
Substitutes
  • 2M. DubatovkaD
  • 3M. ShvetsovD
  • 5D. Dushevskiy
  • 9A. LutskovichF
  • 10K. VardanyanF
  • 11G. AlykulovM
  • 19R. GuiberoM
  • 21D. RadkevichG
  • 25A. ToureD
Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko

Form going into SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk

SC Braga

  • W4-0Železničar Pančevo30 July 2026
  • W1-0away to Železničar Pančevo22 July 2026

Dinamo Minsk

  • L0-1Neftchi Baku30 July 2026
  • W4-2away to Neftchi Baku22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk

  • 6 August 2026SC Braga 1–0 Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: SC Braga and Dinamo Minsk

SC Braga

  • Pau Victor3 goals1 assists

Dinamo Minsk

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.