Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Beitar Jerusalem, 29% draw, 27% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 44% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna
Line-ups
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 2N. AntwiD
- 4B. CarabaliD
- 5G. CohenD
- 16Y. CohenD
- 15N. MucheM
- 40Boris EnowM
- 26D. WorkoM
- 77O. AtziliF
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 33D. NirG
- 22Y. OzerG
- 13E. AnsahF
- 44L. GadraniD
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 30T. YosefiM
- 9J. KaluF
- 24N. MarkovitchM
- 25L. DeriD
- 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
- 3I. BuhariD
- 46J. HandlD
- 4J. FeddersenD
- 40D. NnodimM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 6P. MaybachM
- 21M. SchablasM
- 30M. FischerF
- 20J. HettwerF
- 14K. BoatengF
- 99M. KosG
- 15A. DragovicD
- 22F. WustingerM
- 37M. WelsM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 44V. ToiflD
- 26R. RanftlM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokD
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna
Beitar Jerusalem
- L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
- W1-0away to AEK Larnaca23 July 2026
Austria Vienna
- L0-3away to Wolfsberger AC2 August 2026
- W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026
- W2-0away to FK Liepaja23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Beitar Jerusalem and Austria Vienna in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · Bundesliga
Head-to-head: Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna
- 6 August 2026Beitar Jerusalem 1–2 Austria ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Austria Vienna
Beitar Jerusalem
- O. Atzili1 goals1 assists
Austria Vienna
- J. Hettwer2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.