20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Motherwell vs SC Freiburg UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Fir Park, Motherwell
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Motherwell 1-3 SC Freiburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 17% Motherwell, 22% draw, 61% SC Freiburg — fair odds of 5.88, 4.55 and 1.64.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: SC Freiburg v Motherwell, 27 Aug →

SC Freiburg went through 7–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

SC Freiburg at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Motherwell0%Draw2%SC Freiburg98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Charles-Cookassist: E. Longelo
2'
Joe Hodge
21'
28'
⚽M. Ginterassist: I. Matanovic
Lukas Fadinger
39'
🔁R. Charles-Cookout: S. Palmer-Houlden
46'
59'
Jan-Niklas Beste
•Martin Moormann
61'
Martin Moormann
65'
65'
⚽M. Ginter (pen)
Alex Lowry
67'
🔁A. Lowryout: E. Wilson
71'
🔁T. Maswanhiseout: W. Vogt
71'
74'
🔁Y. Suzukiout: V. Grifo
74'
🔁J. Besteout: C. Irie
🔁J. Girdwood-Reichout: S. O'Donnell
78'
🔁J. Hodgeout: O. Whyte
78'
80'
🔁M. Rosenfelderout: P. Lienhart
80'
🔁I. Matanovicout: K. Goto
90'
🔁D. Scherhantout: B. Yilmaz
90'
⚽K. Gotoassist: V. Grifo

Match stats — Motherwell vs SC Freiburg

40%Possession60%
4Shots26
1On target10
2Corners8

Line-ups

Motherwell 4-3-3
  • 1A. PaulsenG
  • 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  • 4J. Knight-LebelD
  • 5M. MoormannD
  • 45E. LongeloD
  • 11A. LowryM
  • 8L. FadingerM
  • 71J. HodgeM
  • 18T. MaswanhiseF
  • 17R. Charles-CookF
  • 19I. SaidF
Substitutes
  • 21Matty ConnellyG
  • 31J. McConnellG
  • 23E. WilsonD
  • 2S. O'DonnellD
  • 25O. WhyteM
  • 27M. BoothM
  • 29Z. McAllisterM
  • 34A. ThomsonD
  • 35B. WatsonM
Coach: Alfred Johansson
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. BackhausG
  • 29P. TreuD
  • 28M. GinterD
  • 37M. RosenfelderD
  • 33J. MakengoD
  • 8M. EggesteinM
  • 16Y. EngelhardtM
  • 19J. BesteM
  • 14Y. SuzukiM
  • 7D. ScherhantM
  • 31I. MatanovicF
Substitutes
  • 21F. MullerG
  • 24J. HuthG
  • 17L. KublerD
  • 43B. OgbusD
  • 30C. GunterD
  • 5A. JungD
  • 3P. LienhartD
  • 27B. YilmazD
  • 32V. GrifoM
Coach: Julian Schuster

Form going into Motherwell vs SC Freiburg

Motherwell

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0HJK Helsinki13 August 2026
  • D0-0Falkirk9 August 2026
  • D1-1away to HJK Helsinki6 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Hibernian2 August 2026
  • W3-0away to HB Torshavn30 July 2026

SC Freiburg

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

  • Motherwell went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Motherwell scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Motherwell and SC Freiburg in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
9MotherwellPremiership133461521-613
14SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League320145-16

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · UEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Motherwell and SC Freiburg

Motherwell

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lowry31

SC Freiburg

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SC Freiburg won 3–1 at Motherwell. The model had made a win for SC Freiburg its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: R. Charles-Cook 2' for Motherwell, M. Ginter 28' for SC Freiburg, M. Ginter (penalty) 65' for SC Freiburg, K. Goto 90' for SC Freiburg. Sent off: Martin Moormann (Motherwell) 65'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.