Sevilla vs Valencia La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Sevilla, 31% draw, 31% Valencia — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sevilla at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sevilla vs Valencia
Line-ups
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 17G. SuazoD
- 30M. SierraM
- 6L. AgouméM
- 24Y. FofanaM
- 20Félix CorreiaM
- 19L. StassinF
- 16IsaacF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 14Manu BuenoM
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 21C. EjukeF
- 10Peque FernándezF
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 5César TárregaD
- 18PepeluD
- 14José GayàD
- 27David OtorbiM
- 15A. DiengM
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 39R. SatoM
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 36Iker CórdobaD
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 38Jaume DuráM
- 10H. ElliottM
- 24Pablo MaffeoD
- 33Aaron MayolM
- 29Alex PanachD
- 19Dani RabaF
- 21Jesús VázquezD
Form going into Sevilla vs Valencia
Sevilla
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Espanyol6 September 2026
- L1-3Atletico Madrid29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Athletic Club22 August 2026
- W2-1Rayo Vallecano15 August 2026
Valencia
All competitions we cover
- L0-5Barcelona6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Deportivo La Coruna30 August 2026
- L0-1Real Betis25 August 2026
- D0-0Celta Vigo22 August 2026
What these results say
- Sevilla scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sevilla conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Sevilla.
- Valencia did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Valencia failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Valencia conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sevilla vs Valencia
- 21 March 2026Sevilla 0–2 ValenciaLa Liga
- 7 December 2025Valencia 1–1 SevillaLa Liga
- 11 April 2025Valencia 1–0 SevillaLa Liga
- 11 January 2025Sevilla 1–1 ValenciaLa Liga
- 17 February 2024Valencia 0–0 SevillaLa Liga
The result against the call
Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sevilla at 38%. The goal: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 81' for Sevilla.