Valencia sit 17th in the La Liga on 4 points from 6 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 10. The model rates their attack at 0.78× the league average and their defence at 0.89× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — hard to break down, short of goals. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently beating Alaves 1-0 away. That is 0.67 points a match, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67 per game across 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. That leaves them 14 points behind Barcelona at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 19th-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 36%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | +22 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 |
Valencia sit 17 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Alaves15 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sevilla11 September 2026
- L0-5Barcelona6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Deportivo La Coruna30 August 2026
- L0-1Real Betis25 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Valencia host Real Sociedad at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia on 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 36% Valencia, 31% draw and 33% Real Sociedad, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.18 expected goals for Valencia against 1.08. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Full preview and model analysis for Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Recent meetings with Real Sociedad
- 17 May 2026Real Sociedad 3–4 ValenciaLa Liga
- 16 August 2025Valencia 1–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 19 January 2025Valencia 1–0 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 28 September 2024Real Sociedad 3–0 ValenciaLa Liga
- 16 May 2024Real Sociedad 1–0 ValenciaLa Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.