Osasuna vs Espanyol La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Osasuna 0-2 Espanyol.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Osasuna, 29% draw, 29% Espanyol — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Osasuna at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Osasuna vs Espanyol
Line-ups
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 24CatenaD
- 48R. YeboahD
- 15Diego RicoD
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 9Raúl GarcíaM
- 11Kike BarjaM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 31Rafa FernándezG
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 35U. SantosD
- 18Raul MoroF
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 30Asier BonelF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 13M. DmitrovićG
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 5C. RiedelD
- 6L. CabreraD
- 21Roger HinojoD
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 4Urko GonzálezM
- 18Marcos FernándezM
- 28Javier HernandezM
- 24T. DolanM
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 22Álex CalatravaF
- 26Rafel BauzàM
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 17Jofre CarrerasF
- 32J. A. LopezD
- 10Pol LozanoM
Form going into Osasuna vs Espanyol
Osasuna
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Alaves6 September 2026
- W1-0Getafe31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Celta Vigo27 August 2026
- D0-0Levante24 August 2026
Espanyol
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Sevilla6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Real Sociedad29 August 2026
- L1-2Real Madrid22 August 2026
- W3-0Levante16 August 2026
What these results say
- Osasuna scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Espanyol scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Espanyol failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Espanyol conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Osasuna vs Espanyol
- 17 May 2026Osasuna 1–2 EspanyolLa Liga
- 31 August 2025Espanyol 1–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 18 May 2025Osasuna 2–0 EspanyolLa Liga
- 14 December 2024Espanyol 0–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 4 February 2023Espanyol 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Osasuna and Espanyol
Osasuna
GoalsAssists
- A. Budimir80
Espanyol
GoalsAssists
- Roberto Fernández60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Espanyol won 2–0 at Osasuna. The model had leaned towards a win for Osasuna at 42% and given a win for Espanyol 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Roberto Fernández Jaén 3' for Espanyol, Roberto Fernández Jaén 17' for Espanyol.
How the call on Osasuna v Espanyol has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Osasuna's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Osasuna win42%▼ −2
- Draw29%=
- Espanyol win29%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.