Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 0-3 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Shanghai Shenhua, 28% draw, 47% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 4.00, 3.57 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
- W4-1Henan Jianye15 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
- W4-2away to Tianjin Teda15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
- 21 March 2026Beijing Guoan 1–1 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 19 July 2025Beijing Guoan 1–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 1 March 2025Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 22 August 2024Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing GuoanFA Cup
- 4 August 2024Beijing Guoan 2–1 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 13 April 2024Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
- Rafael Ratão15 goals1 assists
Beijing Guoan
- Zhang Yuning12 goals6 assists
- Fábio Abreu9 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.