Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 Talleres Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Gimnasia Mendoza, 20% draw, 34% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.17, 5.00 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gimnasia Mendoza at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Cesar RigamontiG
- 22Juan FrancoD
- 2Diego MondinoD
- 4Ezequiel MuñozD
- 3Matias RecaldeD
- 21Fermin AntoniniM
- 26Facundo LencioniM
- 28Tomás O'ConnorM
- 30Esteban FernándezM
- 7Luciano CingolaniM
- 9Agustín ModicaF
- 5Nahuel BarbozaM
- 17Ignacio SabatiniF
- 32Luciano ParedesD
- 15Ulises SánchezM
- 8Matías VargasF
- 31Lautaro PetruchiG
- 42Lautaro CarreraM
- 16Germán GuiffreyD
- 19Julian CeballosM
- 32Ezequiel UnsaínG
- 20Augusto SchottD
- 6Román RiquelmeD
- 13Valentín FascendiniD
- 3Alexandro MaidanaD
- 5Matias GalarzaM
- 8Federico FattoriM
- 36Emiliano ChiavassaM
- 19Franco CristaldoM
- 37RickM
- 11Valentin DepietriF
- 23Gabriel BáezD
- 49Valentin DavilaF
- 2Timoteo ChamorroD
- 31Bruno TreyM
- 44Santiago FernandezD
- 12Jeremías FlorentínG
- 1Santino BarbiG
- 35Gonzalo NuccioD
- 25Thiago BaroniM
Form going into Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia Mendoza
- L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba9 August 2026
- W2-0Union Santa Fe1 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo28 July 2026
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago24 July 2026
Talleres Cordoba
- L0-3Lanus12 August 2026
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba
- 18 August 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 3–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 February 2026Talleres Cordoba 2–1 Gimnasia MendozaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 September 2017Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Gimnasia MendozaCopa Argentina
- 7 December 2014Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia MendozaTorneo Federal A
- 4 December 2014Gimnasia Mendoza 2–1 Talleres CordobaTorneo Federal A
Leading scorers: Gimnasia Mendoza and Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica12 goals
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.