30 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result

epet ARENA, Prague
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Sparta Praha 0-3 Slavia Praha.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Sparta Praha, 28% draw, 36% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sparta Praha at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sparta Praha0%Draw1%Slavia Praha99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽W. Nowak
Josimar Alcócer
38'
40'
Michal Sadílek
46'
🔁W. Nowakout: D. Moses
Adam Karabec
58'
59'
⚽D. Sturmassist: D. Moses
62'
🔁T. Vlcekout: S. Isife
62'
🔁A. Ouandaout: T. Chory
🔁M. Suchomelout: J. Zeleny
65'
🔁J. Alcocerout: E. Singhateh
65'
🔁S. Enemeout: A. Irving
70'
71'
🔁D. Sturmout: I. Schranz
🔁A. Karabecout: M. Jurasek
76'
80'
🔁S. Chaloupekout: A. N'Guessan
90+4'
Tomáš Chorý
90'
⚽E. Ayaosiassist: M. Sadilek

Match stats — Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha

71%Possession29%
21Shots9
5On target5
13Corners2
2.34xG1.83

Goals against chances

Sparta Praha0 from 2.34 xGless than the chances were worth
Slavia Praha3 from 1.83 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1
  • 44J. SurovcikG
  • 2M. SuchomelD
  • 6T. GuddalD
  • 22L. Mbe SohD
  • 11M. RynesD
  • 28R. MacekM
  • 5S. EnemeM
  • 17J. MercadoM
  • 10A. KarabecM
  • 7J. AlcocerM
  • 14J. BrunesF
Substitutes
  • 47K. HegyiG
  • 19A. SevinskyD
  • 30J. ZelenyD
  • 25K. HoeverD
  • 15V. VitalyosD
  • 31M. JurasekM
  • 26P. VydraM
  • 18A. IrvingM
  • 38H. SochurekM
Coach: Brian Priske
Slavia Praha 4-3-3
  • 35J. MarkovicG
  • 27T. VlcekD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 42M. KonecnyD
  • 2S. ChaloupekD
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 23M. SadilekM
  • 17L. ProvodM
  • 20E. AyaosiF
  • 18A. OuandaF
  • 10D. SturmF
Substitutes
  • 36J. StanekG
  • 14S. IsifeD
  • 33D. HalinskyD
  • 6A. N'GuessanD
  • 8O. KubiakD
  • 16D. MosesM
  • 22T. DiakiteM
  • 32P. KacorM
  • 26I. SchranzF
Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky

Form going into Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha

Sparta Praha

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0away to Artis22 August 2026
  • W4-1Teplice15 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Lyon11 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Mlada Boleslav8 August 2026
  • W2-1Lyon4 August 2026

Slavia Praha

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026
  • W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
  • W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Sparta Praha conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Sparta Praha had three goals or more.
  • Slavia Praha went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Praha scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Slavia Praha conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Sparta Praha147342614+1224
1Slavia Praha141040368+2834

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha

  • 9 May 2026Slavia Praha 0–3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 8 March 2026Slavia Praha 3–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 5 October 2025Sparta Praha 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 10 May 2025Slavia Praha 2–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 8 March 2025Sparta Praha 2–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 6 October 2024Slavia Praha 2–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga

The full Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha record →

Leading scorers: Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha

Sparta Praha

GoalsAssists

  • J. Braut Brunes62
  • J. Mercado51
  • J. Alcócer41

Slavia Praha

GoalsAssists

  • M. Chytil61
  • E. Ayaosi53
  • W. Nowak51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Praha won 3–0 at Sparta Praha. The goals: W. Nowak 11' for Slavia Praha, D. Sturm 59' for Slavia Praha, E. Ayaosi 90' for Slavia Praha. On expected goals it finished 2.34–1.83.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.