30 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Teplice vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Teplice 2-0 FK Jablonec.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Teplice, 29% draw, 29% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Teplice at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Teplice99%Draw1%FK Jablonec0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Nelson Okeke
🔁M. Cermakout: D. Marecek
59'
🔁I. Hopiout: J. Auta
59'
60'
🔁S. Alioumout: V. Chanturishvili
60'
🔁F. Zorvanout: J. Suchan
🔁M. Bilekout: J. Svanda
70'
71'
🔁L. Jawoout: A. Rusek
Lukáš Mareček
77'
⚽J. Autaassist: O. Vientiess
80'
82'
🔁H. Ahlout: J. Chramosta
82'
🔁N. Okekeout: F. Vecheta
84'
Filip Novák
⚽M. Radostaassist: M. Pulkrab
88'
🔁M. Radostaout: J. Jakubko
89'
🔁M. Pulkrabout: T. Zlatohlavek
89'

Match stats — Teplice vs FK Jablonec

38%Possession62%
15Shots9
5On target1
6Corners3
0.79xG1.15

Goals against chances

Teplice2 from 0.79 xGmore than the chances were worth
FK Jablonec0 from 1.15 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Teplice 4-2-3-1
  • 29M. TrmalG
  • 6M. BilekD
  • 4O. VientiessD
  • 28D. VecerkaD
  • 25M. RiznicD
  • 8J. FortelnyM
  • 23L. MarecekM
  • 35M. RadostaM
  • 12M. CermakM
  • 21I. HopiM
  • 10M. PulkrabF
Substitutes
  • 31K. LichtenbergG
  • 13D. TaradudaD
  • 5J. JakubkoD
  • 14L. KrejciM
  • 16P. KodesM
  • 3J. SvandaM
  • 37D. MarecekM
  • 11M. KozakF
  • 17J. AutaM
Coach: Zdenko Frtala
FK Jablonec 4-2-3-1
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 57F. NovakD
  • 23E. SobolD
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 16H. AhlM
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 17S. AlioumM
  • 44L. JawoF
Substitutes
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 14D. SoucekD
  • 20J. SlamaD
  • 90N. InnocentiD
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 10J. SuchanM
  • 22R. HorakM
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 9A. RusekF
Coach: Lubos Kozel

Form going into Teplice vs FK Jablonec

Teplice

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Zbrojovka Brno23 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Sparta Praha15 August 2026
  • D5-5Plzen8 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Slovan Liberec1 August 2026
  • W3-1Bohemians 190525 July 2026

FK Jablonec

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Rangers27 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Rangers20 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026
  • W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
  • W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026

What these results say

  • Teplice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Teplice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FK Jablonec won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FK Jablonec scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FK Jablonec had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Teplice146352222021
7FK Jablonec146351618-221

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Teplice vs FK Jablonec

  • 31 January 2026FK Jablonec 1–0 TepliceCzech Liga
  • 23 August 2025Teplice 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 6 April 2025Teplice 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 2 November 2024FK Jablonec 3–0 TepliceCzech Liga
  • 6 December 2023FK Jablonec 3–2 TepliceCzech Liga
  • 6 August 2023Teplice 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Teplice and FK Jablonec

Teplice

GoalsAssists

  • M. Pulkrab43
  • John Auta40

FK Jablonec

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Teplice beat FK Jablonec 2–0. The model had made a win for Teplice its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Auta 80' for Teplice, M. Radosta 88' for Teplice. On expected goals it finished 0.79–1.15.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.