2 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result

Dolicek, Prague
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Bohemians 1905 1-1 FK Jablonec.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Bohemians 1905, 28% draw, 33% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bohemians 1905 at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bohemians 19054%Draw92%FK Jablonec4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Martin Cedidla
Dominik Javorček
29'
45'
⚽M. Cedidlaassist: J. Chramosta
46'
🔁J. Suchanout: D. Holly
58'
🔁A. Rusekout: L. Jawo
58'
🔁J. Chramostaout: S. Alioum
🔁V. Smrzout: V. Pilar
64'
🔁D. Javorcekout: P. Mirvald
65'
•David Lischka
66'
⚽A. Cermak (pen)
70'
🔁J. Matousekout: V. Zeman
77'
Peter Kareem
84'
David Lischka
84'
🔁A. Cermakout: S. Cerny
87'
🔁L. Almasiout: L. Krobot
87'
Petr Mirvald
90+5'
90'
🔁out: D. Soucek
90'
🔁N. Okekeout: R. Horak

Match stats — Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

54%Possession46%
14Shots15
3On target2
3Corners3
1.75xG1.15

Goals against chances

Bohemians 19051 from 1.75 xGless than the chances were worth
FK Jablonec1 from 1.15 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bohemians 1905 3-4-1-2
  • 23T. FruhwaldG
  • 25P. Kareem
  • 27D. LischkaD
  • 3M. KadlecD
  • 24M. HavelM
  • 47A. CermakM
  • 42V. SmrzM
  • 37D. JavorcekM
  • 16R. KvetF
  • 99L. AlmasiF
  • 10J. MatousekF
Substitutes
  • 12M. ReichlG
  • 22J. VondraD
  • 8D. HeidenreichD
  • 18D. ValaD
  • 32P. MirvaldD
  • 15M. BandaD
  • 19J. KovarikM
  • 11V. PilarM
  • 13V. ZemanF
Coach: Jaroslav Vesely
FK Jablonec 3-4-2-1
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 57F. NovakD
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 20J. SlamaM
  • 10J. SuchanF
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 9A. RusekF
Substitutes
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 23E. SobolD
  • 14D. SoucekD
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 24D. HollyM
  • 16H. AhlM
  • 22R. HorakM
  • 44L. JawoF
  • 17S. AlioumF
Coach: Lubos Kozel

Form going into Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

Bohemians 1905

  • D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026

FK Jablonec

  • L0-2away to Teplice30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Bohemians 1905723289-19
8FK Jablonec8413108+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

  • 2 September 2026Bohemians 1905 1–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 27 March 2026Bohemians 1905 1–1 FK JablonecFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 December 2025FK Jablonec 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 10 August 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 2 February 2025FK Jablonec 0–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 24 August 2024Bohemians 1905 1–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec

Bohemians 1905

  • L. Almási3 goals

FK Jablonec

  • M. Cedidla3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.