Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Bohemians 1905 1-1 FK Jablonec.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Bohemians 1905, 28% draw, 33% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bohemians 1905 at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23T. FruhwaldG
- 25P. Kareem
- 27D. LischkaD
- 3M. KadlecD
- 24M. HavelM
- 47A. CermakM
- 42V. SmrzM
- 37D. JavorcekM
- 16R. KvetF
- 99L. AlmasiF
- 10J. MatousekF
- 12M. ReichlG
- 22J. VondraD
- 8D. HeidenreichD
- 18D. ValaD
- 32P. MirvaldD
- 15M. BandaD
- 19J. KovarikM
- 11V. PilarM
- 13V. ZemanF
- 99K. MihelakG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 15D. PavlovicD
- 57F. NovakD
- 7V. ChanturishviliM
- 13R. SedlacekM
- 6N. OkekeM
- 20J. SlamaM
- 10J. SuchanF
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 9A. RusekF
- 1J. HanusG
- 23E. SobolD
- 14D. SoucekD
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 24D. HollyM
- 16H. AhlM
- 22R. HorakM
- 44L. JawoF
- 17S. AlioumF
Form going into Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec
Bohemians 1905
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
- W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026
- D0-0Hradec Králové2 August 2026
- L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026
FK Jablonec
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Teplice30 August 2026
- W1-0Rangers27 August 2026
- L0-1away to Rangers20 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026
- W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
What these results say
- Bohemians 1905 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bohemians 1905 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Jablonec had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec
- 27 March 2026Bohemians 1905 1–1 FK JablonecFriendlies Clubs
- 7 December 2025FK Jablonec 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 10 August 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 2 February 2025FK Jablonec 0–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 24 August 2024Bohemians 1905 1–2 FK JablonecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec
Bohemians 1905
GoalsAssists
- A. Čermák52
FK Jablonec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Bohemians 1905 at 39% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Cedidla 45' for FK Jablonec, A. Cermak (penalty) 70' for Bohemians 1905. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.15.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.