30 August 2026, 11:00 UTC

Aberdeen vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Aberdeen 0-1 Rangers.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Aberdeen, 28% draw, 32% Rangers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Aberdeen at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aberdeen0%Draw5%Rangers95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Daniel Happe
4'
Chris Cadden
36'
37'
Findlay Curtis
Connor Ronan
43'
Aremu Afeez
44'
🔁T. Yoganeout: S. Armstrong
46'
49'
Cameron Devlin
Toyosi Olusanya
55'
🔁M. Nteloout: L. Smith
63'
65'
Dujon Sterling
69'
⚽L. Shankland (pen)
72'
🔁J. Penriceout: K. Nedeljkovic
72'
🔁M. Kimout: D. Yokota
🔁C. Ronanout: A. Mouloua
75'
Lewis Mayo
77'
•Kevin Nisbet
84'
86'
🔁F. Curtisout: B. Godfrey
86'
🔁L. Shanklandout: R. Naderi

Match stats — Aberdeen vs Rangers

44%Possession56%
10Shots18
2On target5
6Corners6
0.45xG1.84

Goals against chances

Aberdeen0 from 0.45 xGabout what the chances were worth
Rangers1 from 1.84 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Aberdeen 4-2-3-1
  • 27M. MullerG
  • 28C. CaddenD
  • 23L. MayoD
  • 26D. HappeD
  • 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
  • 25C. RonanM
  • 32A. AremuM
  • 31M. NteloM
  • 20T. OlusanyaM
  • 7T. YoganeM
  • 15K. NisbetF
Substitutes
  • 13N. SumanG
  • 5M. KnoesterD
  • 22J. MilneD
  • 17S. ArmstrongM
  • 11L. SmithF
  • 21G. MolloyD
  • 10A. BriedlM
  • 9A. MoulouaF
  • 53A. FasanyaF
Coach: Stephen Robinson
Rangers 4-2-3-1
  • 1I. PandurG
  • 21D. SterlingD
  • 37E. FernandezD
  • 24O. MakhanyaD
  • 29J. PenriceD
  • 14C. DevlinM
  • 6D. NeilM
  • 52F. CurtisM
  • 10M. KimM
  • 23D. GassamaM
  • 7L. ShanklandF
Substitutes
  • 31L. KellyG
  • 4B. GodfreyD
  • 18K. NedeljkovicD
  • 11T. AasgaardM
  • 22V. DragojevicM
  • 8C. BarronM
  • 42T. ChukwuaniM
  • 20R. NaderiF
  • 17D. YokotaM
Coach: Derek McInnes

Form going into Aberdeen vs Rangers

Aberdeen

  • L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026

Rangers

  • L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Aberdeen621367-17
2Rangers641174+313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aberdeen vs Rangers

  • 30 August 2026Aberdeen 0–1 RangersPremiership
  • 21 March 2026Rangers 4–1 AberdeenPremiership
  • 11 January 2026Aberdeen 0–2 RangersPremiership
  • 6 January 2026Rangers 2–0 AberdeenPremiership
  • 11 May 2025Rangers 4–0 AberdeenPremiership
  • 13 April 2025Aberdeen 2–2 RangersPremiership

Leading scorers: Aberdeen and Rangers

Aberdeen

  • K. Nisbet2 goals2 assists

Rangers

  • L. Shankland3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.