Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Super League prediction & result
Final score: Tianjin Teda 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Tianjin Teda, 25% draw, 24% Hangzhou Greentown — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Tianjin Teda at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Yan BingliangG
- 29Ba DunD
- 11Xie WeijunD
- 18A. CordobaD
- 6Wang XianjunD
- 31Sun Ming-HimD
- 30Wang QiumingM
- 10C. SalvadorM
- 14Huang JiahuiM
- 9A. QuilesF
- 8XadasF
- 21Qi YuxiG
- 3Wang ZhenghaoD
- 38S. LiM
- 20Ji ShengpanF
- 17Wu XinghanD
- 28Guo HaoM
- 24Chen ZhexuanD
- 22Li YongjiaM
- 16Liu ShuaiM
- 33Zhao BoG
- 25Xu JunchiD
- 5Liu HaofanD
- 36L. PossignoloD
- 26Sun GuowenD
- 22Cheng JinM
- 4Park Jin-SeobM
- 7Tao QianglongM
- 10M. TolicM
- 28A. MitritaM
- 11Y. WangF
- 32Huo ShenpingG
- 3Wang YangD
- 17Wang ShiqinD
- 38A. ZhangD
- 8A. N'DoumbouM
- 29Zhang JiaqiM
- 14Wu WeiM
- 6Bao ShengxinM
- 20F. NingF
Form going into Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown
Tianjin Teda
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Qingdao Youth Island29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wuhan Three Towns22 August 2026
- L2-4Beijing Guoan15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026
Hangzhou Greentown
All competitions we cover
- W6-0Yunnan Yukun29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sichuan Jiuniu22 August 2026
- L2-3Chengdu Better City15 August 2026
- W4-1Wuhan Three Towns8 August 2026
What these results say
- Tianjin Teda did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Tianjin Teda scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Tianjin Teda conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hangzhou Greentown scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hangzhou Greentown conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Hangzhou Greentown had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 | Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and Hangzhou Greentown
Tianjin Teda
GoalsAssists
- Alberto Quiles115
Hangzhou Greentown
GoalsAssists
- A. Mitriță1315
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tianjin Teda beat Hangzhou Greentown 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Tianjin Teda at 51%. The goals: Xadas 6' for Tianjin Teda, A. Mitrita 45' for Hangzhou Greentown, Ji Shengpan 72' for Tianjin Teda. On expected goals it finished 1.75–2.34.
How the call on Tianjin Teda v Hangzhou Greentown has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 67% / 18% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 51% / 25% / 24%: the biggest move is Tianjin Teda's chance of winning, down 16 points.
- Tianjin Teda win51%▼ −16
- Draw25%▲ +7
- Hangzhou Greentown win24%▲ +9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.