6 September 2026, 11:00 UTC

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua Super League prediction & result

Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Chongqing Tongliang Long, 30% draw, 34% Shanghai Shenhua — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chongqing Tongliang Long at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chongqing Tongliang Long0%Draw1%Shanghai Shenhua99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽L. Asueassist: Gao Tianyi
11'
⚽Wu Xiassist: Gao Tianyi
19'
Zexiang Yang
Ibrahim Amadou
45+2'
🔁Liang Weipengout: Ng Yu-Hei
46'
🔁I. Amadouout: Ruan Qilong
56'
🔁Xiang Yuwangout: Zhang Zhixiong
56'
🔁Li Zhenquanout: Du Yuezheng
57'
🔁Liu Mingshiout: Wei Suowei
65'
71'
🔁Xie Pengfeiout: Xu Haoyang
71'
🔁Gao Tianyiout: Yang Haoyu
82'
🔁L. Asueout: Liu Chengyu
86'
⚽Yang Haoyuassist: W. Manafa
90+1'
🔁Yang Zexiangout: Wang Shilong
90+1'
🔁Rafael Rataoout: Jin Shunkai
⚽M. Ngadeu
90'

Match stats — Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua

60%Possession40%
14Shots14
6On target6
8Corners1

Line-ups

Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • 1Yao HaoyangG
  • 24Liu MingshiD
  • 32M. NgadeuD
  • 33LucaoD
  • 3Zhang YingkaiD
  • 10I. AmadouM
  • 8Li ZhenquanM
  • 9G. CimpanuM
  • 7Xiang YuwangM
  • 18Liang WeipengM
  • 11L. DimataF
Substitutes
  • 31Wu ZitongG
  • 6Jin PengxiangD
  • 26He XiaoqiangD
  • 38Ruan QilongD
  • 37Wei SuoweiD
  • 4Yue RuijieD
  • 16Zhang ZhixiongM
  • 27Wu YongqiangM
  • 21Liu JialeM
Shanghai Shenhua 4-5-1
  • 1Xue QinghaoG
  • 13W. ManafaD
  • 6Li SongyiD
  • 5Zhu ChenjieD
  • 16Yang ZexiangD
  • 19L. AsueM
  • 33Wang HaijianM
  • 17Gao TianyiM
  • 15Wu XiM
  • 30Xie PengfeiM
  • 9Rafael RataoF
Substitutes
  • 24Ma ZhenG
  • 39D. SunG
  • 26Yang ShuaiD
  • 25Zhu YueD
  • 2Wang ShilongD
  • 3Jin ShunkaiD
  • 38Wu QipengD
  • 21Xu HaoyangM
  • 45Han JiawenM
Coach: Vladan Milojevic

Form going into Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua

Chongqing Tongliang Long

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Henan Jianye29 August 2026
  • L0-1Dalian Zhixing23 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Qingdao Youth Island14 August 2026
  • L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG9 August 2026

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Shandong Luneng28 August 2026
  • W5-4away to Chengdu Better City22 August 2026
  • L0-3Beijing Guoan18 August 2026
  • W4-1Henan Jianye15 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Qingdao Jonoon8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Chongqing Tongliang Long did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Chongqing Tongliang Long conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Chongqing Tongliang Long had two goals or fewer.
  • Shanghai Shenhua scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Shanghai Shenhua conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Shanghai Shenhua had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Chongqing Tongliang Long30812103135-436
7Shanghai Shenhua30155106750+1740

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shanghai Shenhua

Chongqing Tongliang Long

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.

Shanghai Shenhua

GoalsAssists

  • Rafael Ratão191

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Shanghai Shenhua won 3–1 at Chongqing Tongliang Long. The model had leaned towards a win for Chongqing Tongliang Long at 36% and given a win for Shanghai Shenhua 34%. The goals: L. Asue 8' for Shanghai Shenhua, Wu Xi 11' for Shanghai Shenhua, Yang Haoyu 86' for Shanghai Shenhua, M. Ngadeu 90' for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

How the call on Chongqing Tongliang Long v Shanghai Shenhua has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 31% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Shanghai Shenhua's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Chongqing Tongliang Long win36%▼ −1
  2. Draw30%▼ −1
  3. Shanghai Shenhua win34%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.