Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Super League prediction & result
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Shenyang Urban.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Yunnan Yukun, 24% draw, 22% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Yunnan Yukun at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Wang ZhifengG
- 19Huang ZichangD
- 18Yi TengD
- 33A. BurcaD
- 3Tsui Wang-KitD
- 10A. Ionita IIM
- 34Caio ViniciusM
- 22Duan LiuyuM
- 39Abdusalam BunyaminF
- 9CleberF
- 11O. Taty MarituF
- 1Bao YaxiongG
- 24Yu JianxianG
- 5Shi KeD
- 27Han ZilongM
- 2Hu RuibaoD
- 26Zhang ChenliangD
- 16Zhang XiangshuoD
- 6Zhao YuhaoM
- 8Xu XinM
- 29Zhang YanG
- 34H. ZhangD
- 26Yuan MinchengD
- 15FelipeD
- 5D. MawlanniyazM
- 33Tian YinongM
- 18Li TixiangM
- 35Li HaoranM
- 7A. KouameF
- 9G. MbenzaF
- 47JeffinhoF
- 13J. XieG
- 28Xu DongD
- 3Pan XimingD
- 27Gao JiarunD
- 36Tian DeaoM
- 30Pang ShenghanD
- 8Yan DinghaoM
- 22G. LiuF
- 17Tian YudaF
Form going into Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
All competitions we cover
- L0-6away to Hangzhou Greentown29 August 2026
- D3-3away to Beijing Guoan22 August 2026
- W3-1Dalian Zhixing15 August 2026
- W1-0Chengdu Better City8 August 2026
Shenyang Urban
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Chengdu Better City29 August 2026
- D4-4Henan Jianye23 August 2026
- L1-2Sichuan Jiuniu15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Dalian Zhixing8 August 2026
What these results say
- Yunnan Yukun scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Yunnan Yukun conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Yunnan Yukun had three goals or more.
- Shenyang Urban did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Shenyang Urban conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Shenyang Urban scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Yunnan Yukun and Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
GoalsAssists
- O. Maritu239
- Cléber145
Shenyang Urban
GoalsAssists
- Jeffinho122
- G. Mbenza111
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Yunnan Yukun beat Shenyang Urban 5–0. The model had made a win for Yunnan Yukun its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Cleber 32' for Yunnan Yukun, O. Taty Maritu 40' for Yunnan Yukun, Cleber 64' for Yunnan Yukun, Abdusalam Bunyamin 77' for Yunnan Yukun, Cleber 90' for Yunnan Yukun. On expected goals it finished 2.30–1.14.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.