Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Super League prediction & result
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Shenyang Urban.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Yunnan Yukun, 24% draw, 22% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Yunnan Yukun at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
- L0-6away to Hangzhou Greentown29 August 2026
- D3-3away to Beijing Guoan22 August 2026
- W3-1Dalian Zhixing15 August 2026
- W1-0Chengdu Better City8 August 2026
Shenyang Urban
- L1-2away to Chengdu Better City29 August 2026
- D4-4Henan Jianye23 August 2026
- L1-2Sichuan Jiuniu15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 38 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Yunnan Yukun and Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
- O. Maritu20 goals8 assists
- Cléber12 goals5 assists
Shenyang Urban
- Jeffinho10 goals2 assists
- G. Mbenza9 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.