Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Tigre 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% Tigre, 26% draw, 53% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 4.76, 3.85 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Belgrano Cordoba at 53% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Felipe ZenobioG
- 4Valentín MorenoD
- 2Joaquín LasoD
- 20Alan BarrionuevoD
- 3Nahuel BanegasD
- 8Martín GarayM
- 30Jalil EliasM
- 10Jabes SaraleguiM
- 28Gonzalo MartínezM
- 22Santiago LópezM
- 29Ignacio RussoF
- 33Elías CabreraM
- 19Alfio OviedoF
- 27Santiago GonzálezM
- 26Lautaro MoralesG
- 32Juan VillalbaD
- 17Guillermo SotoD
- 23Gonzalo RequenaD
- 24Federico ÁlvarezD
- 16Nicolas DubersarskyM
- 25Thiago CardozoG
- 14Leonardo MoralesD
- 2Alexis MaldonadoD
- 17Lisandro LópezD
- 3Adrián SpörleD
- 21Adrián SánchezM
- 5Santiago LongoM
- 24Emiliano RigoniM
- 10Lucas ZelarayánM
- 8Ramiro HernandesM
- 22Nicolás FernándezF
- 11Francisco González MetilliM
- 9Lucas PasseriniF
- 15Ramiro TuliánM
- 23Manuel VicentiniG
- 16Federico RiccaD
- 4Agustin GriguolD
- 29Marcos OrtizF
- 30Gonzalo ZelarayánF
- 53Juan VelázquezF
Form going into Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
- W3-1away to Racing Club1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto25 July 2026
Belgrano Cordoba
- L0-1Argentinos Juniors1 August 2026
- W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Tigre vs Belgrano Cordoba
- 6 August 2026Tigre 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 January 2026Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 November 2025Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 April 2025Tigre 0–0 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 13 June 2024Tigre 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 March 2024Tigre 1–4 Belgrano CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Tigre and Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
- I. Russo7 goals3 assists
- D. Romero7 goals2 assists
Belgrano Cordoba
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.