20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie prediction & result

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Twente, 30% draw, 35% PSV Eindhoven — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Twente at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Twente96%Draw4%PSV Eindhoven0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
🔁Ricardo Pepiout: Sven Mijnans
⚽Younes Taha El Idrissi
14'
26'
⚽Guus Tilassist: Mauro Júnior
29'
⚽Guus Tilassist: Paul Wanner
Wout Weghorst
43'
🔁Filip Erik Thorvaldsenout: Daan Rots
58'
60'
Ruben van Bommel
66'
Ivan Perišić
75'
🔁Ruben van Bommelout: Esmir Bajraktarević
🔁Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeterout: Marko Pjaca
76'
🔁Robin Propperout: Lucas hesselink of vennegoor
76'
⚽Wout Weghorstassist: Daan Rots
79'
80'
🔁Paul Wannerout: Ryan Flamingo
⚽Daouda Weidmannassist: Max Bruns
83'
🔁Younes Taha El Idrissiout: Thomas Van den Belt
86'

Match stats — Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

40%Possession60%
21Shots11
5On target4
6Corners5

Line-ups

Twente 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. UnnerstallG
  • 28B. van RooijD
  • 38M. BrunsD
  • 3R. PröpperD
  • 4R. NijstadD
  • 6R. ZerroukiM
  • 8D. WeidmannM
  • 17F. ThorvaldsenM
  • 10Y. TahaM
  • 27S. ØrjasæterM
  • 9W. WeghorstF
Substitutes
  • 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
  • 20T. van den BeltM
  • 37N. ÜnüvarF
  • 11D. RotsF
  • 2M. RosiakD
  • 7M. PjacaF
  • 22R. PasveerG
  • 24K. KurowskiD
  • 16J. DrommelG
Coach: J. van den Brom
PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
  • 32M. KovářG
  • 8S. DestD
  • 2L. GeertruidaD
  • 4A. ObispoD
  • 17Mauro JúniorD
  • 24K. SanoM
  • 10P. WannerM
  • 5I. PerišićM
  • 20G. TilM
  • 7R. van BommelM
  • 9R. PepiF
Substitutes
  • 6R. FlamingoD
  • 51T. SmolenaarsG
  • 35A. SantosM
  • 1N. OlijG
  • 21S. MijnansM
  • 27D. ManF
  • 18F. KostićM
  • 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
  • 31N. FernandezM
Coach: P. Bosz

Form going into Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

Twente

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0ADO Den Haag12 September 2026
  • W1-0Telstar9 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Groningen6 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Cambuur30 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Qarabag27 August 2026

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Sparta Rotterdam13 September 2026
  • D1-1Shakhtar Donetsk10 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Ajax5 September 2026
  • W6-1away to Utrecht30 August 2026
  • W5-1Groningen23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Twente went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Twente scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Twente won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • PSV Eindhoven conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Twente127323012+1824
1PSV Eindhoven128224015+2526

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

  • 17 May 2026PSV Eindhoven 5–1 TwenteEredivisie
  • 17 August 2025Twente 0–2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
  • 24 April 2025Twente 1–3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
  • 6 December 2024PSV Eindhoven 6–1 TwenteEredivisie
  • 17 March 2024PSV Eindhoven 1–0 TwenteEredivisie

The full Twente vs PSV Eindhoven record →

Leading scorers: Twente and PSV Eindhoven

Twente

GoalsAssists

  • W. Weghorst92

PSV Eindhoven

GoalsAssists

  • S. Mijnans92
  • G. Til71

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Twente beat PSV Eindhoven 3–2. The goals: Younes Taha El Idrissi 14' for Twente, Guus Til 26' for PSV Eindhoven, Guus Til 29' for PSV Eindhoven, Wout Weghorst 79' for Twente, Daouda Weidmann 83' for Twente.

How the call on Twente v PSV Eindhoven has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 35% / 30% / 35%: the biggest move is PSV Eindhoven's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Twente win35%▲ +1
  2. Draw30%▲ +2
  3. PSV Eindhoven win35%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.