NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% NEC Nijmegen, 27% draw, 34% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
NEC Nijmegen at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles
Line-ups
- 12N. PolsterG
- 73Gabriel BrásD
- 4P. SchuursD
- 21T. StormD
- 34Kevin KersM
- 6D. NejašmićM
- 20N. LebretonM
- 77A. ThomasM
- 9T. CheryM
- 10D. TadićM
- 30B. LinssenF
- 18D. GeigerM
- 36Freek EntiusG
- 38Joep GenesteG
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 42Y. MoslihD
- 17B. NuytinckD
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 15R. WeijenbergM
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 25G. van ZwamD
- 11O. SivertsenF
- 34Y. RahmouniM
- 3G. NauberD
- 22N. MarsmanG
- 18R. MargaretF
- 6T. JukićD
Form going into NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Juventus17 September 2026
- L0-3away to Cambuur12 September 2026
- D2-2Excelsior8 September 2026
- L1-3Feyenoord5 September 2026
- W3-1away to PEC Zwolle29 August 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Groningen12 September 2026
- D3-3away to Utrecht8 September 2026
- L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026
- W3-1ADO Den Haag23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Feyenoord16 August 2026
What these results say
- NEC Nijmegen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for NEC Nijmegen had three goals or more.
- NEC Nijmegen failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for GO Ahead Eagles.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles
- 17 May 2026NEC Nijmegen 2–1 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 5 October 2025GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- 9 March 2025NEC Nijmegen 2–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 7 December 2024GO Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- 23 May 2024NEC Nijmegen 1–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for NEC Nijmegen at 39% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Perr Schuurs 2' for NEC Nijmegen, Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson 10' for GO Ahead Eagles.
How the call on NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 27% / 34%: the biggest move is NEC Nijmegen's chance of winning, down 8 points.
- NEC Nijmegen win39%▼ −8
- Draw27%=
- GO Ahead Eagles win34%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.