Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Ararat-Armenia, 23% draw, 50% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 3.70, 4.35 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
Ararat-Armenia
- D1-1away to Universitatea Craiova20 August 2026
Universitatea Craiova
- W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | Liga I | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 17 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Liga I
Head-to-head: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
- 20 August 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.