Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Ararat-Armenia, 23% draw, 50% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 3.70, 4.35 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. First leg: Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia (20 Aug) →
Ararat-Armenia went through 2–1 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
Line-ups
- 98Joao Bravim
- 3Junior Julio
- 47A. MalisD
- 43B. R. Wilson ValdezD
- 16E. GrigoryanD
- 2H. OliveiraM
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 70BennyM
- 77A. SerobyanF
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 11Z. BanjaquiF
- 1A. NersesyanG
- 14B. PereiraD
- 5Luis FelipeD
- 20A. TeraM
- 17M. CarlierM
- 8J. A. BalantaM
- 6M. AyvazyanM
- 25A. NdourF
- 9A. EloyanF
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovicD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BalutaM
- 5A. MekvabishviliM
- 11N. BancuM
- 20A. CicaldauF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 10S. BaiaramF
- 90R. SavaG
- 1A. MaximG
- 31R. WebsterD
- 4A. CretuM
- 23TelesM
- 29L. BasceanuM
- 30D. MateiM
- 19Heriberto TavaresF
- 7S. NsimbaF
Form going into Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
Ararat-Armenia
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Universitatea Craiova20 August 2026
- L0-2away to Celje11 August 2026
- W2-1Celje4 August 2026
- L1-2away to Shamrock Rovers28 July 2026
- W2-0Shamrock Rovers21 July 2026
Universitatea Craiova
All competitions we cover
- W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
- D1-1Ararat-Armenia20 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 August 2026
- W2-1KuPS13 August 2026
- L0-1Arges Pitesti9 August 2026
What these results say
- Ararat-Armenia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ararat-Armenia conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Craiova.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova
- 20 August 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
The result against the call
Ararat-Armenia beat Universitatea Craiova 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 50% and given a win for Ararat-Armenia 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Sandro Lima 90' for Ararat-Armenia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.