Uta Arad vs Rapid Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Uta Arad 0-0 Rapid.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Uta Arad, 24% draw, 57% Rapid — fair odds of 5.26, 4.17 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid at 57% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Uta Arad vs Rapid
Line-ups
- 96Árpád TordaiG
- 2Andrei DorobanțuD
- 15Peter OuanehD
- 4Alexandru BengaD
- 72Andrea PadulaD
- 11Hakim AbdallahM
- 5Sota MinoM
- 16Richard OdadaM
- 80Alexi PituM
- 8Roman AlinF
- 7Ismet SinaniF
- 10Marinos TzionisF
- 77Jayson PapeauM
- 9Marius ComanF
- 60Dmytro PospelovD
- 20Denis ȚăroiM
- 33Andrei GorceaG
- 22Robert BădescuD
- 19Denis IleM
- 16Marian AioaniG
- 13Denis CiobotariuD
- 3Daniel GraovacD
- 6Lars KramerD
- 21Robert SălceanuD
- 15Cătălin VulturarM
- 80Olimpiu MoruțanM
- 22Vladan BubanjaM
- 8Constantin GrameniM
- 29Alex DobreM
- 77Jason KodorF
- 19Răzvan OneaD
- 9Filip StojilkovićF
- 10Claudiu PetrilaM
- 55Rareș PopM
- 7Mohammed KamaraF
- 99Bogdan UngureanuG
- 42Alin KumerD
- 5Alexandru PaşcanuD
- 88Omar El SawyM
Form going into Uta Arad vs Rapid
Uta Arad
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari1 August 2026
- D2-2Oțelul24 July 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova18 July 2026
Rapid
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj2 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Botosani27 July 2026
- W1-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Uta Arad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rapid | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Rapid
- 7 August 2026Uta Arad 0–0 RapidLiga I
- 26 January 2026Uta Arad 1–2 RapidLiga I
- 29 August 2025Rapid 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 9 November 2024Rapid 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 13 July 2024Uta Arad 1–1 RapidLiga I
- 28 February 2024Rapid 4–1 Uta AradLiga I
Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Rapid
Uta Arad
- M. Coman4 goals
Rapid
- A. Dobre3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.