VfB Stuttgart
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
The model makes it 51% VfB Stuttgart, 22% draw, 27% Eintracht Frankfurt — fair odds of 1.96, 4.55 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.37, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.60.
Both teams to score: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. VfB Stuttgart's rating is built from 43 Bundesliga matches and Eintracht Frankfurt's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 697 matches.
Key facts
- VfB Stuttgart are 8th on 12 points from 9 games; Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th on 12 points from 9 games — Bundesliga.
- VfB Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Werder Bremen.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to SC Paderborn 07.
- Last 6 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 16 May 2026, ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB Stuttgart.
More Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Has the model earned this number?
VfB Stuttgart at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga
- W1-0Werder Bremen7 November 2026
- W4-2away to Bayer Leverkusen31 October 2026
- L2-3Borussia Mönchengladbach23 October 2026
- L0-1away to Hamburger SV17 October 2026
- W2-0away to SC Paderborn 0710 October 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
- D2-2away to SC Paderborn 077 November 2026
- W3-1Hamburger SV1 November 2026
- L0-1away to Borussia Dortmund24 October 2026
- W1-01. FC Köln16 October 2026
- L0-6away to RB Leipzig10 October 2026
What these results say
- VfB Stuttgart scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eintracht Frankfurt conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
VfB Stuttgart
Chance to finish in the top four · 17% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- 16 May 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 13 January 2026VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 29 March 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 10 November 2024VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 13 April 2024VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 25 November 2023Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Leading scorers: VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart
GoalsAssists
- E. Demirović50
Eintracht Frankfurt
GoalsAssists
- Y. Ebnoutalib61
- J. Burkardt51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives VfB Stuttgart a 0.1% chance of the title and Eintracht Frankfurt 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives VfB Stuttgart the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.37 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart against 1.60 for Eintracht Frankfurt. VfB Stuttgart's attack/defence rating is 1.14/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.12/1.13 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
How the model reaches 51% for VfB Stuttgart to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for VfB Stuttgart to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, VfB Stuttgart's ratings add 3 points and Eintracht Frankfurt's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 51%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage43%+5
- Both sides at this match's level44%+1
- VfB Stuttgart's ratings47%+3
- Eintracht Frankfurt's ratings51%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
VfB Stuttgart at home · Eintracht Frankfurt away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
VfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart are 8th after 9 Bundesliga matches (between 7th and 18th so far); Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th after 9 (between 5th and 13th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: VfB Stuttgart 9, Eintracht Frankfurt 9.
VfB Stuttgart score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Eintracht Frankfurt have let in 3 there.
Eintracht Frankfurt score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); VfB Stuttgart have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
VfB Stuttgart
- at SV Elversberg6 Dec · Bundesligawin 38%
- vs Lille9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 38%
- vs Union Berlin12 Dec · Bundesligawin 60%
Eintracht Frankfurt
- vs Werder Bremen5 Dec · Bundesligawin 45%
- at Borussia Mönchengladbach12 Dec · Bundesligawin 44%
- at Bayer Leverkusen19 Dec · Bundesligawin 23%
- vs FC Schalke 049 Jan · Bundesligawin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.