FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Schalke 04, 29% draw, 29% SV Elversberg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Schalke 04 at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
Line-ups
- 1L. KariusG
- 5T. BeckerD
- 25N. KatićD
- 4H. KuruçayD
- 29J. Dina EbimbeM
- 23S. El-FaouziM
- 13S. TanakaM
- 8R. GosensM
- 19K. KaramanM
- 24A. AouchicheM
- 10E. DžekoF
- 7Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 38L. VozarM
- 22K. MüllerG
- 9M. SyllaF
- 6R. SchallenbergM
- 39M. WöberD
- 20J. AdamuF
- 43M. AyhanD
- 33Vitalie BeckerD
- 20N. KristofG
- 30J. GyamerahD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 31M. RohrD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 43F. KeidelM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 6A. CondéM
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 26L. SirchD
- 28T. BossG
- 9N. FutkeuF
Form going into FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Union Berlin11 September 2026
- D0-0Bayern München5 September 2026
- L0-3away to FC Augsburg30 August 2026
SV Elversberg
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Bayern München13 September 2026
- W4-3away to Borussia Mönchengladbach5 September 2026
- W3-2Bayer Leverkusen29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
- 12 April 2026SV Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
- 8 November 2025FC Schalke 04 1–0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 18 May 2025FC Schalke 04 1–2 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 20 December 2024SV Elversberg 1–4 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
- 19 April 2024SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
SV Elversberg
GoalsAssists
- M. Krattenmacher41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Schalke 04 at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is FC Schalke 04's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- FC Schalke 04 win42%▲ +5
- Draw29%▼ −1
- SV Elversberg win29%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.