Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Plock 0-0 Widzew Łódź.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Wisla Plock, 29% draw, 30% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Wisla Plock at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Rafał LeszczyńskiG
- 4Marcus Haglind SangreD
- 35Marcin KamińskiD
- 3Marcin FlisD
- 21Žan RogeljM
- 17Adam RadwańskiM
- 8Dani PachecoM
- 23Patryk KunM
- 11JimeF
- 7Olaf KobackiF
- 10Said HamulićF
- 19Dion GallapeniD
- 26Jakub BurekG
- 41Marcin WięckowskiD
- 5Marin KaramarkoD
- 88Kyriakos SavvidisM
- 18Jurica PrširM
- 16Fabian HiszpańskiM
- 6Krystian PomorskiM
- 91Gleb KuchkoM
- 1Bartłomiej DrągowskiG
- 91Marcel KrajewskiD
- 25Przemysław WiśniewskiD
- 3Steve KapuadiD
- 17Christopher ChengD
- 10Fran ÁlvarezM
- 6Juljan ShehuM
- 8Emil KornvigM
- 7Mariusz FornalczykM
- 28Karol ŚwiderskiF
- 99Sebastian BergierF
- 40Mario GarciaD
- 5Giannis PapanikolaouM
- 30Veljko IlićG
- 70Jusuf GazibegovićD
- 4Mateusz ŻyroD
- 14Ricardo VisusD
- 57Samuel AkereM
- 18Lindon SelahiM
- 77Ángel BaenaM
Form going into Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026
Widzew Łódź
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Motor Lublin26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
- 14 February 2026Wisla Plock 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 9 August 2025Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 5 September 2024Wisla Plock 0–3 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
- 16 July 2023Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
- 16 July 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
- 13 March 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Widzew Łódź
GoalsAssists
- K. Świderski51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Wisla Plock at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.56–1.81.