Dundee United vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee United 1-1 Rangers.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Dundee United, 19% draw, 23% Rangers — fair odds of 1.72, 5.26 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dundee United at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee United vs Rangers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Jack James WaltonG
- 23Joshua RawlinsD
- 3Bert EsselinkD
- 18Michael ForbesD
- 11William FerryD
- 5Vicko ŠeveljM
- 10Dylan TaitM
- 12Emmanuel AgyeiM
- 21Jesse RandallF
- 15Lachlan RoseF
- 9Zachary SapsfordF
- 4Iurie IovuD
- 77Daniel BennieF
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 93Idjessi MetsokoF
- 30Jordan AmissahG
- 6Ross GrahamD
- 7Mehdi MerghemF
- 14Julius EskesenM
- 20Neil FarrugiaF
- 1Ivor PandurG
- 21Dujon SterlingD
- 4Ben GodfreyD
- 37Emmanuel FernandezD
- 25Tuur RommensD
- 10Mohammed DiomandeM
- 14Cameron DevlinM
- 20Ryan Don NaderiM
- 11Thelo AasgaardM
- 23Djeidi GassamaM
- 7Lawrence ShanklandF
- 6Dan NeilM
- 9Youssef ChermitiF
- 2Ross McCrorieD
- 52Findlay CurtisM
- 31Liam KellyG
- 24Olwethu MakhanyaD
- 22Vanja DragojevićM
- 42Tochi ChukwuaniM
- 28Bojan MiovskiF
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee United vs Rangers
- 4 April 2026Rangers 4–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 3 December 2025Dundee United 2–2 RangersPremiership
- 18 October 2025Rangers 2–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 14 May 2025Rangers 3–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 26 January 2025Dundee United 1–3 RangersPremiership
- 23 November 2024Rangers 1–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee United and Rangers
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- J. Randall33
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee United and Rangers drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee United at 58% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Lachlan Rose 38' for Dundee United, Thelo Aasgaard 56' for Rangers. On expected goals it finished 1.59–1.43.