8 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Challenge League prediction & result

Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Referee: Z. Prskalo
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Yverdon Sport 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Yverdon Sport, 24% draw, 19% Neuchatel Xamax FC — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Yverdon Sport at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Yverdon Sport6%Draw92%Neuchatel Xamax FC2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Baron
28'
45+4'
I. Keita
🔁E. Pascheout: R. Golliard
46'
🔁V. Fazliuout: H. Sessolo
61'
61'
🔁A. Bourezakout: B. Diomande
61'
🔁N. Gjorgjevout: L. Mulaj
O. Doumbia
66'
🔁O. Doumbiaout: M. Okuka
71'
🔁J. Okitaout: J. Mayorga
71'
71'
🔁J. Unjanqueout: V. Nvendo
J. Mayorga
72'
74'
B. Diomande
J. Gnakpa
75'
84'
🔁I. Keitaout: L. Veya
84'
🔁Y. Peverelliout: M. Dind
🔁S. Demhasajout: J. Augustin
84'
86'
R. Bayard
V. Kongsro
88'

Form going into Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

Yverdon Sport

Challenge League

  • L2-3away to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy30 October 2026
  • W5-2SC Kriens25 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Étoile Carouge9 October 2026
  • D0-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy20 September 2026

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Challenge League

  • L1-3FC Aarau30 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy23 October 2026
  • W3-0FC Winterthur9 October 2026
  • L0-3Rapperswil18 September 2026

What these results say

  • Yverdon Sport scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Neuchatel Xamax FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Neuchatel Xamax FC had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Yverdon Sport136522314+923
5Neuchatel Xamax FC135261620-417

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Yverdon Sport vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

  • 1 September 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 22 April 2026Yverdon Sport 2–2 Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League
  • 3 February 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 Yverdon SportSchweizer Cup
  • 25 January 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 7 November 2025Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 31 August 2025Yverdon Sport 3–1 Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League

The result against the call

Yverdon Sport and Neuchatel Xamax FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Yverdon Sport at 57% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Yverdon Sport a 98.6% chance to finish in the top four: 99.8% after a win, 98.3% after a draw, 95.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 98.3%.

For Neuchatel Xamax FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 29.4% going in: 51.4% after a win, 31.2% after a draw, 22.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 31.2%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Challenge League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Yverdon Sport v Neuchatel Xamax FC has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 54% / 25% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 57% / 24% / 19%: the biggest move is Yverdon Sport's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Yverdon Sport win57%▲ +3
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Neuchatel Xamax FC win19%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.