Servette FC vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result
Final score: Servette FC 0-0 FC Zurich.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Servette FC, 25% draw, 25% FC Zurich — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Servette FC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Servette FC vs FC Zurich
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 4S. RouillerD
- 34T. AllixD
- 14L. NjohD
- 6Pedro NaressiM
- 20Jarell Njike SimoM
- 22M. LambourdeM
- 36Thomas LopesM
- 21J. KarlssonM
- 90S. MrázF
- 78L. BessonG
- 28D. DoulineM
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 77T. OuattaraF
- 19Y. SeverinD
- 35A. VincentM
- 39Eronis HaxhiuM
- 38Benoit SidaF
- 40Daniel Emanuel Mbimbo MiguelF
- 1Silas HuberG
- 47Doron LichtensteinD
- 2L. KamberiD
- 42A. HackD
- 44S. WalkerD
- 21L. SchodlerM
- 17K. SpadanudaM
- 38M. ReichmuthM
- 8L. ComenenciaM
- 11U. EmmanuelM
- 19P. KenyF
- 43N. VolkenD
- 4J. SeguraD
- 49D. RamićF
- 13H. LindnerG
- 48D. IhenduD
- 3S. HodžaD
- 14N. Di GiustoM
- 18M. BangouraM
- 28Mario GrecoF
Form going into Servette FC vs FC Zurich
Servette FC
Super League
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen31 October 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz24 October 2026
- W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
- L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026
FC Zurich
Super League
- W5-3away to BSC Young Boys1 November 2026
- W2-1FC Luzern24 October 2026
- W4-2FC Thun10 October 2026
- D1-1away to FC Sion19 September 2026
What these results say
- Servette FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Servette FC had three goals or more.
- Servette FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Zurich went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- FC Zurich scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Zurich conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Servette FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Zurich
- 1 August 2026FC Zurich 2–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 16 May 2026FC Zurich 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 7 March 2026Servette FC 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 18 January 2026Servette FC 1–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 13 September 2025FC Zurich 2–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 9 March 2025FC Zurich 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Zurich
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- U. Emmanuel63
- P. Keny61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Servette FC and FC Zurich drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Servette FC at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.47–0.68.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Servette FC a 68.0% chance to finish in the top six: 77.6% after a win, 61.9% after a draw, 51.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 61.9%, 6.1 points lower than before the match.
For FC Zurich the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 73.3% going in: 89.3% after a win, 77.0% after a draw, 65.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 77.0%, 3.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Servette FC v FC Zurich has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 54% / 24% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 50% / 25% / 25%: the biggest move is Servette FC's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Servette FC win50%▼ −4
- Draw25%▲ +1
- FC Zurich win25%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.